Magic vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 12, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Heat are -3.5 favorites vs. the Magic
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Watch the game on SUN | BSFL

The Orlando Magic visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Miami, FL.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Magic vs Heat Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Magic are 25-12 against the spread, while the Heat are 17-20 against the spread.


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Magic vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orlando Magic+1.5 -110O 219.5 -110+105
Miami Heat -1.5 -110U 219.5 -110-125

Heat vs Magic Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Friday‘s game with 61.8% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Magic and Heat, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Heat vs Magic Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 57.2% confidence.


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  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 71 games (+19.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the Spread in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+14.30 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 2Q Spread in 43 of their last 69 games (+14.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 65 games (+11.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 67 games (+27.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 61 games (+21.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 46 of their last 70 games (+21.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 72 games (+19.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 24 games (+13.55 Units / 51% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 25-12 (+11.9 Units / 29.35% ROI).

  • 21-16 against the Moneyline (+9.15 Units / 16.68% ROI)
  • 17-19 against the Over for game total points (-3.9 Units / -9.58% ROI)
  • 19-17 against the Under for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.74% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 17-20 (-4.95 Units / -12.16% ROI).

  • 21-16 against the Moneyline (+5.9 Units / 10.61% ROI)
  • 18-19 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -7.13% ROI)
  • 19-18 against the Under for game total points (-0.8 Units / -1.97% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 83 games (-22.50 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 86 games (-22.05 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 38 of their last 94 games (-21.30 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 81 games (-19.40 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 40 games (-18.55 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 65 games (-18.25 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 76 games (-16.90 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 19 games (-13.65 Units / -52% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 73 games (-12.00 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 66 games (-10.80 Units / -14% ROI)

Jump to:

Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Magic were undefeated (5-0) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

The Magic are 10-0 (1.000) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — T-best in the NBA. The Heat have allowed opponents to shoot 48% this season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

The Magic were 2-16 (.111) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

The Magic are 12-5 (.706) when they win the turnover margin this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Heat are 13-6 (.684) when they win the turnover margin this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Magic have averaged 15.0 turnovers per game this season — 5th-highest in the NBA.

The Heat were 10-1 (.909) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

The Heat are 21-10 (.677) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

The Heat were 20-9 (.690) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

Injury Report: Heat vs. MagicFriday‘s Game, Jan. 12

  • Tyler Herro (Miami Heat): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • R.J. Hampton (Miami Heat): Knee, Out
  • Dru Smith (Miami Heat): Knee, Out For Season
  • Bam Adebayo (Miami Heat): Hip, Game Time Decision
  • Haywood Highsmith (Miami Heat): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Jonathan Isaac (Orlando Magic): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Suggs (Orlando Magic): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Wendell Carter Jr. (Orlando Magic): Finger, Game Time Decision
  • Markelle Fultz (Orlando Magic): Knee, Game Time Decision

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (892 assists/ 619 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,906 assists/ 1,236 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,346 assists/ 901 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic have a 32% free throw rate (526 free throw attempts/1,636 field goal attempts) on the road this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 107.5 points per game (4,408 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4

The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Heat averaged 23.8 points per game (1,714 points/72 games) in close and late situations last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.9

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have 308 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Magic allowed 15.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,238 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.3

The Magic have averaged 7.7 steals per game (911 steals/119 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Magic have averaged 8.3 steals per game (308 steals/37 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (121 blocks/37 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (364 blocks/119 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (178 blocks/58 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.