Magic vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 29, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Mavericks are -4.5 favorites vs. the Magic
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSW | BSFL

The Orlando Magic visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Magic vs Mavericks Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Magic are 29-17 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 24-22 against the spread.


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Magic vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orlando Magic+4.5 -110O 227.5 -110+155
Dallas Mavericks -4.5 -110U 227.5 -110-190

Mavericks vs Magic Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Monday‘s game with 65.7% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Magic and Mavericks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Mavericks vs Magic Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 54.1% confidence.


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  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 78 games (+15.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the Spread in 38 of their last 59 games (+15.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 33 games (+12.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 74 games (+12.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+11.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 32 games (+15.05 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+12.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+10.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 75 games (+10.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 27 games (+10.20 Units / 34% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 29-17 (+10.4 Units / 20.61% ROI).

  • 24-22 against the Moneyline (+6.05 Units / 9.27% ROI)
  • 20-25 against the Over for game total points (-7.5 Units / -14.82% ROI)
  • 25-20 against the Under for game total points (+3 Units / 5.93% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 24-22 (-0.15 Units / -0.3% ROI).

  • 25-21 against the Moneyline (-2.7 Units / -3.25% ROI)
  • 24-21 against the Over for game total points (+0.9 Units / 1.78% ROI)
  • 21-24 against the Under for game total points (-5.3 Units / -10.5% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 71 games (-36.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 40 games at home (-22.40 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 76 games (-22.15 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 75 games (-21.50 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 70 games (-20.35 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 74 games (-19.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 28 games (-19.10 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 78 games (-15.40 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 32 games (-14.15 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 32 away games (-13.45 Units / -36% ROI)

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Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Magic are 5-10 (.333) when they lose the turnover margin this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA. The Mavericks have averaged 12.2 turnovers per game this season — 2nd-lowest in the NBA.

The Magic were 13-19 (.406) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Magic are 5-10 (.333) when they lose the turnover margin this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .463

The Magic are 7-11 (.389) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Mavericks are 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577

The Mavericks were 1-8 (.111) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Mavericks are 19-32 (.373) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .433

The Mavericks are 12-6 (.667) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. MagicMonday‘s Game, Jan. 29

  • Grant Williams (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Josh Green (Dallas Mavericks): Elbow, Out
  • Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Toe, Game Time Decision
  • Jonathan Isaac (Orlando Magic): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Suggs (Orlando Magic): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Wendell Carter Jr. (Orlando Magic): Finger, Game Time Decision
  • Markelle Fultz (Orlando Magic): Knee, Game Time Decision

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (892 assists/ 619 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic have averaged 8.7 second chance points per game (400 points/46 games) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Magic have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,458 assists/ 962 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,906 assists/ 1,236 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 5.9 turnovers per game (761 turnovers/128 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Mavericks averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (496 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Mavericks have averaged 44.0 points in the paint per game (5,638 points/128 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have averaged 8.2 steals per game (376 steals/46 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Magic have averaged 7.6 steals per game (979 steals/128 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Magic have allowed 11.5 second chance points per game (253 points/22 games) at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Magic have averaged 8.0 steals per game (522 steals/65 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,559 rebounds/46 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (303 steals/46 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Mavericks have averaged 6.4 steals per game (817 steals/128 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (506 blocks/128 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.