Magic vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Magic are -6.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSDT | BSFL

The Orlando Magic visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Detroit, MI.

The Magic are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Magic vs Pistons Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Magic are 32-17 against the spread, while the Pistons are 23-24 against the spread.


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Magic vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orlando Magic-6.5 -110O 231.5 -115-250
Detroit Pistons +6.5 -110U 231.5 -105+200

Pistons vs Magic Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Magic will win Sunday‘s game with 71.6% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Magic and Pistons, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Pistons vs Magic Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Orlando Magic have covered the Spread in 41 of their last 62 games (+18.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 78 games (+14.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 36 games (+13.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+12.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 77 games (+10.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 71 games (+16.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 46 games (+14.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+11.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+10.35 Units / 53% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 32-17 (+13.4 Units / 24.93% ROI).

  • 26-23 against the Moneyline (+8.25 Units / 11.84% ROI)
  • 22-26 against the Over for game total points (-6.6 Units / -12.24% ROI)
  • 26-22 against the Under for game total points (+1.8 Units / 3.34% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 23-24 (-3.3 Units / -6.26% ROI).

  • 6-42 against the Moneyline (-30.8 Units / -61.29% ROI)
  • 28-19 against the Over for game total points (+7.1 Units / 13.45% ROI)
  • 19-28 against the Under for game total points (-11.8 Units / -22.35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 77 games (-52.20 Units / -65% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 77 games (-24.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 65 games (-22.20 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 77 games (-21.95 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 46 games (-18.95 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-18.65 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 31 games (-17.85 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 78 games (-13.45 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 78 games (-13.30 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 35 games (-13.20 Units / -34% ROI)

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Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Magic were undefeated (5-0) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

The Magic are 7-11 (.389) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .436

The Magic are 9-5 (.643) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Magic are 3-9 (.250) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .371

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Pistons are 12-48 (.200) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons are 8-77 (.094) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons are 2-15 (.118) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

Injury Report: Pistons vs. MagicSunday‘s Game, Feb. 4

  • Isaiah Stewart (Detroit Pistons): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Cade Cunningham (Detroit Pistons): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Malcolm Cazalon (Detroit Pistons): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jonathan Isaac (Orlando Magic): Undisclosed, Game Time Decision
  • Gary Harris (Orlando Magic): Calf, Out
  • Markelle Fultz (Orlando Magic): Knee, Out

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (892 assists/ 619 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic have 26.4 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9

The Magic are shooting 34% from three (527/1,532) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Magic have a 30% free throw rate (1,292 free throw attempts/4,232 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,884 assists/ 1,237 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons have averaged 15.6 turnovers per game (747 turnovers/48 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (567 assists/ 361 TOs) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have 404 steals this season — tied for 2nd most among NBA teams

The Magic have averaged 8.2 steals per game (404 steals/49 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Magic have 1,007 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th most among NBA teams

The Magic allowed 7.4 points in the paint per game (520 points/70 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.8

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 5.9 steals per game (285 steals/48 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pistons have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,413 rebounds/130 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons averaged 3.8 blocks per game (308 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pistons have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,657 rebounds/48 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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