Magic vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 13, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder are -11.5 favorites vs. the Magic
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOK | BSFL

The Orlando Magic visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Magic vs Thunder Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Magic are 25-13 against the spread, while the Thunder are 25-11 against the spread.


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Magic vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orlando Magic+11.5 -110O 232.5 -115+475
Oklahoma City Thunder -11.5 -110U 232.5 -105-650

Thunder vs Magic Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Saturday‘s game with 87.3% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Magic and Thunder, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Thunder vs Magic Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 72 games (+20.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the Spread in 34 of their last 51 games (+15.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 2Q Spread in 44 of their last 70 games (+15.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+13.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games (+12.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 74 games (+20.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 39 games at home (+19.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 41 games (+17.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 41 games (+14.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 48 of their last 79 games (+13.90 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 25-13 (+10.8 Units / 25.93% ROI).

  • 21-17 against the Moneyline (+8.15 Units / 14.59% ROI)
  • 17-20 against the Over for game total points (-5 Units / -11.96% ROI)
  • 20-17 against the Under for game total points (+1.3 Units / 3.11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 25-11 (+12.95 Units / 31.94% ROI).

  • 26-11 against the Moneyline (+14.65 Units / 18.37% ROI)
  • 22-14 against the Over for game total points (+6.6 Units / 16.22% ROI)
  • 14-22 against the Under for game total points (-10.2 Units / -25.06% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 74 games (-30.25 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 39 games at home (-25.55 Units / -57% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 71 games (-15.65 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 74 games (-15.20 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 39 games (-13.90 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 66 games (-19.35 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 77 games (-15.90 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 20 games (-14.65 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 74 games (-13.10 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 24 games (-11.80 Units / -45% ROI)

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Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Magic are 5-7 (.417) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 8th-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 12.7 turnovers per game this season — 5th-lowest in the NBA.

The Magic were 9-1 (.900) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Magic were 2-16 (.111) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

The Magic were 13-19 (.406) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Thunder are winless (0-3) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .172

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder are undefeated (8-0) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627

The Thunder are 24-11 (.686) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507

Injury Report: Thunder vs. MagicSaturday‘s Game, Jan. 13

  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
  • Jonathan Isaac (Orlando Magic): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Suggs (Orlando Magic): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Wendell Carter Jr. (Orlando Magic): Finger, Game Time Decision
  • Markelle Fultz (Orlando Magic): Knee, Game Time Decision

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (892 assists/ 619 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,906 assists/ 1,236 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (894 assists/ 584 TOs) in the second half last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Magic have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,336 assists/ 866 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (222/536) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder are shooting 43% from three (259/608) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 1.43 points per shot (2,288 points/1,600 shots) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Thunder have averaged 13.2 offensive rebounds per game (487 rebounds/37 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.8

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have averaged 8.4 steals per game (318 steals/38 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Magic have 318 steals this season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Magic have averaged 7.7 steals per game (921 steals/120 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Magic allowed 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (591 rebounds/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.2

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,104 rebounds/119 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have allowed 19.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,118 rebounds/58 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.5

The Thunder have allowed 19.9 offensive rebounds per game (738 rebounds/37 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.8

The Thunder have averaged 8.2 steals per game (302 steals/37 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.