Mavericks vs 76ers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 05, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks are -1.5 favorites vs. the 76ers
  • Total (Over/Under): 242.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSPA | BSW+

The Dallas Mavericks visit Wells Fargo Center to take on the Philadelphia 76ers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Philadelphia, PA.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Mavericks vs 76ers Over/Under is 243.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 24-25 against the spread, while the 76ers are 29-19 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. 76ers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks-3.5 -105O 243.5 -105-160
Philadelphia 76ers +76 -115U 243.5 -115+135

76ers vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Mavericks and 76ers, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

76ers vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the 76ers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 58.2% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2Q Spread in 22 of their last 29 away games (+14.30 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games (+13.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 43 of their last 75 games (+11.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 away games (+9.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 88 games (+21.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the Spread in 53 of their last 88 games (+15.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 53 of their last 88 games (+14.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the 3Q Spread in 52 of their last 88 games (+11.95 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 24-25 (-3.45 Units / -6.41% ROI).

  • 26-23 against the Moneyline (-3.7 Units / -4.27% ROI)
  • 25-23 against the Over for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.56% ROI)
  • 23-25 against the Under for game total points (-4.4 Units / -8.18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 29-19 (+8.05 Units / 15.28% ROI).

  • 30-18 against the Moneyline (+0.7 Units / 0.52% ROI)
  • 30-18 against the Over for game total points (+10.2 Units / 19.32% ROI)
  • 18-30 against the Under for game total points (-14.95 Units / -28.34% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 89 games (-22.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 89 games (-21.55 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 86 games (-18.20 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 62 games (-17.75 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 42 games (-17.70 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 74 games (-37.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 76 games (-22.10 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 73 games (-21.60 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 76 games (-21.55 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 77 games (-19.50 Units / -22% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Mavericks are undefeated (15-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .773

The Mavericks are undefeated (5-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .747

The Mavericks are 4-10 (.286) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Mavericks are 16-4 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .668

Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The 76ers are 17-2 (.895) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Mavericks have averaged 49.8 rebounds/game this season — 6th-lowest in the NBA.

The 76ers are 28-9 (.757) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Mavericks have allowed 118.8 points per game this season — T-9th-worst in the NBA.

The 76ers were 34-18 (.654) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

The 76ers were 18-5 (.783) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

Injury Report: 76ers vs. MavericksMonday‘s Game, Feb. 5

  • De’Anthony Melton (Philadelphia 76ers): Back, Out
  • Robert Covington (Philadelphia 76ers): Knee, Out
  • Tyrese Maxey (Philadelphia 76ers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Kenneth Lofton Jr. (Philadelphia 76ers): Personal, Game Time Decision
  • Joel Embiid (Philadelphia 76ers): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Jones Jr. (Dallas Mavericks): Wrist, Game Time Decision
  • Kyrie Irving (Dallas Mavericks): Thumb, Game Time Decision

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.8 (144 assists/ 51 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks averaged 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have 27.3 free throw attempts per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9

The 76ers have a 31% free throw rate (1,311 free throw attempts/4,275 field goal attempts) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

The 76ers averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,766 points/3,435 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The 76ers have averaged 1.37 points per shot (7,578 points/5,550 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,656 rebounds/49 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Mavericks have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,430 rebounds/131 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (322 steals/49 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 8.9 steals per game (427 steals/48 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The 76ers have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,636 rebounds/48 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The 76ers averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,822 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The 76ers allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (118/405) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.