Mavericks vs Bulls Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 11, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Mavericks are -3.5 favorites vs. the Bulls
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBCH | WFAA

The Dallas Mavericks visit United Center to take on the Chicago Bulls on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Mavericks vs Bulls Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 34-30 against the spread, while the Bulls are 33-30 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Bulls Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks-3.5 -115O 232.5 -110-165
Chicago Bulls +3.5 -105U 232.5 -110+135

Bulls vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Monday‘s game with 71.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Bulls.

Bulls vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bulls will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.7% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 37 away games (+13.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 39 away games (+9.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 37 away games (+9.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 75 games (+14.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 82 games (+13.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 4Q Spread in 49 of their last 82 games (+13.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games (+12.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+12.45 Units / 35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 34-30 (+1.05 Units / 1.49% ROI).

  • 36-28 against the Moneyline (-2.4 Units / -1.96% ROI)
  • 32-31 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -2.98% ROI)
  • 31-32 against the Under for game total points (-4.1 Units / -5.83% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 33-30 (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 31-33 against the Moneyline (+0.3 Units / 0.33% ROI)
  • 33-30 against the Over for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
  • 30-33 against the Under for game total points (-6.3 Units / -8.95% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 82 games (-22.30 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 75 games (-21.95 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 72 games (-16.70 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 27 games (-16.25 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 82 games (-15.55 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 74 games (-32.85 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 75 games (-27.25 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-19.65 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 51 games (-16.40 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 57 games (-15.25 Units / -24% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Mavericks are 28-9 (.757) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Bulls have allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game this season — T-worst in the NBA.

The Mavericks are 6-1 (.857) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Mavericks are 18-4 (.818) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .675

The Mavericks are 21-7 (.750) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Bulls are 1-24 (.040) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .180

The Bulls are 25-8 (.758) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Mavericks have allowed 118.2 points per game this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA.

The Bulls were 4-16 (.200) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

The Bulls are 10-4 (.714) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

Injury Report: Bulls vs. MavericksMonday‘s Game, Mar. 11

  • Torrey Craig (Chicago Bulls): Knee, Out
  • Lonzo Ball (Chicago Bulls): Knee, Out For Season
  • Zach LaVine (Chicago Bulls): Foot, Out For Season
  • Patrick Williams (Chicago Bulls): Foot, Out For Season
  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (157 assists/ 55 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (496 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks have averaged 44.1 points in the paint per game (6,004 points/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.6

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 21.1 points in the paint per game (1,142 points/54 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Bulls have averaged 5.5 turnovers per game (296 turnovers/54 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (400 points/82 games) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls have averaged 11.2 fast break points per game (303 points/27 games) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,864 rebounds/54 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls stole the ball 644 times last season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Bulls have averaged 7.8 steals per game (1,062 steals/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Bulls averaged 7.9 steals per game (644 steals/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Bulls averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,958 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.