Mavericks vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 27, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Cavaliers are -4.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOH | BSW+

The Dallas Mavericks visit Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Cleveland, OH.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Mavericks vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 30-27 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 28-26 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+4.5 -105O 233.5 -115+155
Cleveland Cavaliers -4.5 -115U 233.5 -105-190

Cavaliers vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Tuesday‘s game with 69.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Cavaliers.

Cavaliers vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 55.5% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 43 games (+17.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 33 away games (+16.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+12.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 away games (+11.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 31 games (+18.45 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 52 games (+13.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 48 games (+13.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 68 games (+12.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.60 Units / 53% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 30-27 (+0.35 Units / 0.56% ROI).

  • 33-24 against the Moneyline (+2 Units / 1.86% ROI)
  • 27-29 against the Over for game total points (-4.9 Units / -7.8% ROI)
  • 29-27 against the Under for game total points (-0.6 Units / -0.96% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 28-26 (-0.5 Units / -0.81% ROI).

  • 37-19 against the Moneyline (+11.6 Units / 8.81% ROI)
  • 24-31 against the Over for game total points (-10.1 Units / -16.38% ROI)
  • 31-24 against the Under for game total points (+4.65 Units / 7.55% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 31 games (-20.85 Units / -62% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 68 games (-19.95 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-19.40 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 68 games (-19.10 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 39 games at home (-15.50 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 77 games (-26.20 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 67 games (-24.50 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 43 games (-22.55 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 44 games (-16.50 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 30 games (-15.90 Units / -49% ROI)

Jump to:

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Mavericks are undefeated (6-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .746

The Mavericks were 22-32 (.407) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Mavericks are 25-8 (.758) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .631

The Mavericks were 8-1 (.889) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Cavaliers are 25-6 (.806) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Cavaliers were 37-26 (.587) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

The Cavaliers are 34-14 (.708) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

The Cavaliers were 8-1 (.889) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

Injury Report: Cavaliers vs. MavericksTuesday‘s Game, Feb. 27

  • Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Tristan Thompson (Cleveland Cavaliers): Suspension, Out
  • Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Out
  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (157 assists/ 55 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks have averaged 42.4 points in the paint per game (2,796 points/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks have averaged 44.1 points in the paint per game (6,004 points/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.6

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 3.6 second chance points per game (228 points/63 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Cavaliers had a TS% of 52% last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Cavaliers have averaged 9.0 fast break points per game (466 points/52 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Cavaliers averaged 12.5 second chance points per game (1,024 points/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks allowed 11.1 made three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers allowed 52.1 points per game (4,269 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 56.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,895 rebounds/52 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 7.7 steals per game (398 steals/52 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Cavaliers allowed 106.9 points per game (8,764 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.