Mavericks vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 26, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks are -2.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 244.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSW | NBAt

The Dallas Mavericks visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Mavericks vs Hawks Over/Under is 244.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 23-21 against the spread, while the Hawks are 11-33 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks-1.5 -110O 244.5 -110-120
Atlanta Hawks +1.5 -110U 244.5 -110+100

Hawks vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Friday‘s game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Mavericks and Hawks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Hawks vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.3% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 43 of their last 74 games (+12.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2Q Spread in 20 of their last 27 away games (+12.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 73 games (+10.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+11.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.60 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+9.15 Units / 22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 23-21 (-0.05 Units / -0.1% ROI).

  • 24-20 against the Moneyline (-2.8 Units / -3.45% ROI)
  • 23-20 against the Over for game total points (+1 Units / 2.06% ROI)
  • 20-23 against the Under for game total points (-5.2 Units / -10.77% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 11-33 (-25.2 Units / -52.17% ROI).

  • 18-26 against the Moneyline (-14 Units / -19.61% ROI)
  • 23-20 against the Over for game total points (+1 Units / 2.07% ROI)
  • 20-23 against the Under for game total points (-5.3 Units / -10.95% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 26 of their last 80 games (-33.30 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 38 games (-24.75 Units / -59% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 84 games (-22.15 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 59 games (-21.95 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 84 games (-19.05 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 69 games (-36.40 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 74 games (-22.15 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 73 games (-21.30 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 75 games (-20.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 76 games (-20.25 Units / -17% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Mavericks are 20-6 (.769) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed 13.6 made three-pointers per game this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA.

The Mavericks are 14-3 (.824) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — T-4th-worst in the NBA.

The Mavericks are 4-10 (.286) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .413

The Mavericks are 12-5 (.706) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Hawks are 21-1 (.955) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .791

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks are 11-2 (.846) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — T-10th-best in the NBA. The Mavericks have allowed opponents to shoot 48% this season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

The Hawks were 5-21 (.192) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

Injury Report: Hawks vs. MavericksFriday‘s Game, Jan. 26

  • Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks): Wrist, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Out
  • Kobe Bufkin (Atlanta Hawks): Thumb, Out
  • Grant Williams (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Josh Green (Dallas Mavericks): Elbow, Out
  • Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Toe, Game Time Decision

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 44.0 points in the paint per game (5,538 points/126 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.4

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 3.0 (125 assists/ 41 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have a TS% of 51% this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Hawks made 10.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Hawks averaged 14.3 second chance points per game (1,174 points/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Hawks have a 27% free throw rate (1,088 free throw attempts/4,093 field goal attempts) this season — 10th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,495 rebounds/44 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (499 blocks/126 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,479 rebounds/44 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hawks have 348 steals this season — tied for 7th most among NBA teams

The Hawks have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (199 blocks/44 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Hawks have allowed a TS% of 54% this season — tied for highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.