Mavericks vs Knicks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 08, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks are -4.5 favorites vs. the Knicks
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Dallas Mavericks visit Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Knicks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in New York, NY.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Mavericks vs Knicks Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 26-25 against the spread, while the Knicks are 29-20 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Knicks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks-3.5 -115O 227.5 -115-160
New York Knicks +3.5 -105U 227.5 -105+135

Knicks vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Thursday‘s game with 64.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Knicks.

Knicks vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Knicks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 53.8% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 31 away games (+16.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 37 games (+15.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 away games (+11.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 away games (+10.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 40 of their last 62 games (+17.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 34 games at home (+15.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the Spread in 51 of their last 87 games (+14.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games (+14.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 24 games (+14.25 Units / 41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 26-25 (-1.45 Units / -2.59% ROI).

  • 28-23 against the Moneyline (-1.7 Units / -1.9% ROI)
  • 25-25 against the Over for game total points (-2.5 Units / -4.45% ROI)
  • 25-25 against the Under for game total points (-2.4 Units / -4.29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 29-20 (+7.05 Units / 12.6% ROI).

  • 33-18 against the Moneyline (+11.25 Units / 9.26% ROI)
  • 21-30 against the Over for game total points (-12 Units / -21.39% ROI)
  • 30-21 against the Under for game total points (+6.9 Units / 12.3% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 62 games (-23.05 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 83 games (-22.15 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 70 games (-20.65 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 88 games (-19.50 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-18.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 76 games (-35.30 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 75 games (-21.95 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 78 games (-21.65 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 78 games (-21.10 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 37 games (-20.10 Units / -49% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Mavericks are 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .579

The Mavericks were 1-8 (.111) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Mavericks were 8-1 (.889) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

The Mavericks are undefeated (16-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .775

New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Knicks are winless (0-11) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .253

The Knicks are 17-3 (.850) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .579

The Knicks were 18-9 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Knicks are 21-6 (.778) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

Injury Report: Knicks vs. MavericksThursday‘s Game, Feb. 8

  • OG Anunoby (New York Knicks): Elbow, Game Time Decision
  • Duane Washington Jr. (New York Knicks): Thumb, Game Time Decision
  • Julius Randle (New York Knicks): Shoulder, Out
  • Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks): Ankle, Out
  • Evan Fournier (New York Knicks): Personal, Game Time Decision
  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Jones Jr. (Dallas Mavericks): Wrist, Game Time Decision
  • Kyrie Irving (Dallas Mavericks): Thumb, Game Time Decision

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.8 (148 assists/ 53 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks have averaged 43.9 points in the paint per game (5,834 points/133 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 8.4 second chance points per game (1,117 points/133 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Knicks have averaged 24.0 assists per game (1,224 assists/51 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.6

The Knicks have averaged 19.0 offensive rebounds per game (2,529 rebounds/133 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.4

The Knicks averaged 22.9 assists per game (1,880 assists/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,735 rebounds/51 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Mavericks have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (216 blocks/51 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,828 rebounds/51 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Knicks averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,991 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Knicks averaged 6.4 steals per game (527 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Knicks averaged 4.1 blocks per game (340 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.