Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 14

  • The Thunder are -19.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOK | BSW+

The Dallas Mavericks visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-110).

The Mavericks vs Thunder Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 48-33 against the spread, while the Thunder are 45-35 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+19.5 -110O 224.5 -105+1150
Oklahoma City Thunder -19.5 -110U 224.5 -115-2500

Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 92.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Thunder.

Thunder vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 61.8% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 52 games (+16.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 56 games (+16.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 32 games (+15.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 40 away games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+9.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 36 games at home (+23.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 31 games at home (+15.95 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 44 of their last 72 games (+13.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+10.80 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 48-33 (+11.7 Units / 13.15% ROI).

  • 50-31 against the Moneyline (+3.95 Units / 2.21% ROI)
  • 37-44 against the Over for game total points (-11.4 Units / -12.79% ROI)
  • 44-37 against the Under for game total points (+3.3 Units / 3.7% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 45-35 (+6.5 Units / 7.3% ROI).

  • 56-25 against the Moneyline (+15.35 Units / 5.73% ROI)
  • 43-34 against the Over for game total points (+5.6 Units / 6.28% ROI)
  • 34-43 against the Under for game total points (-13.2 Units / -14.83% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 78 games (-20.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 82 games (-19.10 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 57 games (-16.05 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 70 games (-14.80 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 82 games (-13.30 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 81 games (-28.15 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 54 games (-24.45 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 52 games (-23.20 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 58 games (-21.80 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 74 games (-20.60 Units / -24% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Mavericks are 23-8 (.742) when winning the rebounding margin this season — T-10th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 49.0 rebounds/game this season — 3rd-lowest in the NBA.

The Mavericks are 6-4 (.600) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Mavericks were 13-17 (.433) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Mavericks are 9-4 (.692) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder are 15-6 (.714) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Thunder are 35-22 (.614) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .486

The Thunder were 15-19 (.441) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

Injury Report: Thunder vs. MavericksSunday‘s Game, Apr. 14

  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 20.1 points in the paint per game (1,646 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2

The Mavericks averaged 1.9 second chance points per game (129 points/68 games) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (551/1,364) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have a TS% of 54% this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Thunder are shooting 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,920 rebounds/81 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks allowed 11.1 made three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 8.5 steals per game (688 steals/81 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Thunder have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (532 blocks/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder averaged 8.2 steals per game (676 steals/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have allowed 18.0 offensive rebounds per game (2,938 rebounds/163 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2


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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.