Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 14

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 14, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Thunder are -19.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOK | BSW+

The Dallas Mavericks visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-110).

The Mavericks vs Thunder Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 48-33 against the spread, while the Thunder are 45-35 against the spread.


Bet now on Thunder vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+19.5 -110O 224.5 -105+1150
Oklahoma City Thunder -19.5 -110U 224.5 -115-2500

Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 92.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Thunder.

Thunder vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 61.8% confidence.


Bet now on Thunder vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 52 games (+16.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 56 games (+16.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 32 games (+15.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 40 away games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+9.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 36 games at home (+23.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 31 games at home (+15.95 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 44 of their last 72 games (+13.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+10.80 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 48-33 (+11.7 Units / 13.15% ROI).

  • 50-31 against the Moneyline (+3.95 Units / 2.21% ROI)
  • 37-44 against the Over for game total points (-11.4 Units / -12.79% ROI)
  • 44-37 against the Under for game total points (+3.3 Units / 3.7% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 45-35 (+6.5 Units / 7.3% ROI).

  • 56-25 against the Moneyline (+15.35 Units / 5.73% ROI)
  • 43-34 against the Over for game total points (+5.6 Units / 6.28% ROI)
  • 34-43 against the Under for game total points (-13.2 Units / -14.83% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 78 games (-20.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 82 games (-19.10 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 57 games (-16.05 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 70 games (-14.80 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 82 games (-13.30 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 81 games (-28.15 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 54 games (-24.45 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 52 games (-23.20 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 58 games (-21.80 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 74 games (-20.60 Units / -24% ROI)

Jump to:

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Mavericks are 23-8 (.742) when winning the rebounding margin this season — T-10th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 49.0 rebounds/game this season — 3rd-lowest in the NBA.

The Mavericks are 6-4 (.600) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Mavericks were 13-17 (.433) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Mavericks are 9-4 (.692) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder are 15-6 (.714) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Thunder are 35-22 (.614) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .486

The Thunder were 15-19 (.441) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

Injury Report: Thunder vs. MavericksSunday‘s Game, Apr. 14

  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 20.1 points in the paint per game (1,646 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2

The Mavericks averaged 1.9 second chance points per game (129 points/68 games) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (551/1,364) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have a TS% of 54% this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Thunder are shooting 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,920 rebounds/81 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks allowed 11.1 made three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 8.5 steals per game (688 steals/81 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Thunder have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (532 blocks/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder averaged 8.2 steals per game (676 steals/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have allowed 18.0 offensive rebounds per game (2,938 rebounds/163 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2


Bet now on Thunder vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.