- The Thunder are -10.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
- Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT
The Dallas Mavericks visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).
The Mavericks vs Thunder Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 36-30 against the spread, while the Thunder are 39-25 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Dallas Mavericks | +10.5 -105 | O 234.5 -105 | +425 |
Oklahoma City Thunder | -10.5 -115 | U 234.5 -115 | -600 |
Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 86.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Thunder.
Thunder vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.
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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games (+12.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 38 away games (+12.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games (+10.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 39 away games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.50 Units / 21% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 29 games at home (+19.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 20 of their last 24 games at home (+15.45 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 42 of their last 69 games (+13.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 56 games (+12.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games (+10.60 Units / 22% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 36-30 (+3 Units / 4.14% ROI).
- 38-28 against the Moneyline (-0.15 Units / -0.12% ROI)
- 33-33 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 33-33 against the Under for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 39-25 (+11.5 Units / 16.08% ROI).
- 45-20 against the Moneyline (+10.15 Units / 5.25% ROI)
- 33-28 against the Over for game total points (+2.2 Units / 3.07% ROI)
- 28-33 against the Under for game total points (-8.2 Units / -11.48% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-20.80 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 73 games (-17.05 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 41 games (-16.95 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 62 games (-16.80 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 41 games (-13.85 Units / -29% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 76 games (-33.80 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 77 games (-25.00 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 39 games (-17.90 Units / -40% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 52 games (-17.55 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 59 games (-17.10 Units / -25% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Mavericks are undefeated (6-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .746
The Mavericks are 16-6 (.727) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 48.8 rebounds/game this season — 3rd-lowest in the NBA.
The Mavericks are 28-9 (.757) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game this season — T-6th-worst in the NBA.
The Mavericks are undefeated (18-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .780
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808
The Thunder are undefeated (12-0) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647
The Thunder are 23-2 (.920) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560
The Thunder are 18-1 (.947) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best in the NBA. The Mavericks have averaged 50.2 rebounds/game this season — 6th-lowest in the NBA.
Injury Report: Thunder vs. Mavericks – Thursday‘s Game, Mar. 14
- Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
- Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (157 assists/ 55 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2
The Mavericks averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (496 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0
The Mavericks have averaged 42.4 points in the paint per game (2,796 points/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (369/893) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Thunder have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (347/860) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Mavericks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,864 rebounds/54 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Mavericks have averaged 6.4 steals per game (871 steals/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Mavericks have averaged 6.1 steals per game (404 steals/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Thunder have allowed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,253 rebounds/135 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0
The Thunder averaged 4.2 blocks per game (341 blocks/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Thunder have allowed 19.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,276 rebounds/67 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.4
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