Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 24, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -5.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 207.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | truTV

The Dallas Mavericks visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Mavericks vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 207.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 56-39 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 48-45 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+5.5 -105O 207.5 -110+190
Minnesota Timberwolves -5.5 -115U 207.5 -110-250

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Friday‘s game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 63.7% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 70 games (+17.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 46 games (+16.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 48 away games (+12.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 15 of their last 19 away games (+11.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 51 of their last 82 games (+16.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 68 games (+15.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 91 games (+13.30 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 56-39 (+13.1 Units / 12.55% ROI).

  • 59-36 against the Moneyline (+7.3 Units / 3.65% ROI)
  • 43-52 against the Over for game total points (-14.2 Units / -13.59% ROI)
  • 52-43 against the Under for game total points (+4.7 Units / 4.5% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 48-45 (-1.6 Units / -1.55% ROI).

  • 64-30 against the Moneyline (+11.85 Units / 3.88% ROI)
  • 49-45 against the Over for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.48% ROI)
  • 45-49 against the Under for game total points (-8.9 Units / -8.61% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 85 games (-29.95 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 87 games (-26.25 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 68 games (-25.15 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 88 games (-21.70 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 87 games (-21.10 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 95 games (-30.90 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 68 games (-25.60 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 72 games (-24.60 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 58 games (-20.60 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 81 games (-19.70 Units / -21% ROI)

Jump to:

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

Keys to the game – away

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Timberwolves were 16-2 (.889) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

The Timberwolves are 1-5 (.167) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

The Timberwolves were 24-14 (.632) when they win the turnover margin last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Timberwolves are 16-7 (.696) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. MavericksFriday‘s Game, May 24

  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out For Season
  • Greg Brown (Dallas Mavericks): Personal, Game Time Decision
  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Foot, Game Time Decision
  • PJ Washington (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Dereck Lively II (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Jones Jr. (Dallas Mavericks): Shoulder, Game Time Decision
  • Daniel Gafford (Dallas Mavericks): Elbow, Game Time Decision
  • Kyrie Irving (Dallas Mavericks): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Luka Doncic (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (1,002 turnovers/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Mavericks averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (496 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

Home Team Offense Stories

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

Home Team Defense Stories


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.