Thunder vs. Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Pick: NBA Playoffs, Game 4

min read
OKLAHOMA CITY, OKLAHOMA - FEBRUARY 27: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 of the Oklahoma City Thunder puts up a shot during the second half against the Houston Rockets at Paycom Center on February 27, 2024 in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Joshua Gateley/Getty Images)
(Photo by Joshua Gateley/Getty Images)
Shane Jackson @Sjacksonmgm May 02, 2024, 9:04 PM
  • The Pelicans will host the Thunder on Monday.
  • The Thunder secured a 106-85 victory in Game 3.
  • Oklahoma City is a 4.5-point favorite to finish the sweep.

The Oklahoma City Thunder won 106-85 over the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday, taking a 3-0 lead in the opening round of this Western Conference series.

With a chance to finish the sweep, the top-seeded Thunder are 4.5-point favorites ahead of Monday’s Game 5.

This a significant adjustment to the basketball betting lines compared to Saturday, when Oklahoma City was a short 1.5-point road favorite.

Here’s a look at the NBA playoff odds and my Game 4 prediction: 

NBA Playoff Odds – Thunder vs. Pelicans

  • Pelicans moneyline: +155
  • Thunder moneyline: -190
  • Spread: Thunder -4.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 205.5
  • Series price: OTB

Thunder vs. Pelicans – NBA Playoffs, Game 4

Prediction: Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 assists (-105)

It has been quite the playoff debut for Oklahoma City big man Chet Holmgren.

Holmgren is averaging 15.7 points, 8.7 rebounds, and 3.7 blocks per game. This comes after a regular season where he averaged 16.5 points, 7.9 rebounds,  and 2.3 blocks per contest.

The only part of Holmgren’s game that has suffered is his assists, with him recording an average of 1.3 dimes this series following a regular-season average of 2.4 per contest. Holmgren’s lone multi-assist game in this series occurred in Game 1.

Thanks to a projection of 2.6 assists, there is great value on this discounted over for 1.5 assists. A fair price is north of -200, so I’d be willing to pay as much as -135 for this ticket.

It’s unlikely the price will ever get that high, but take advantage of the -105 value ahead of tipoff.

NBA ATS Records 2023-24

TeamATS RecordATS Win Pct.
Mavericks48-34-0.585
Pacers44-36-3.550
Celtics41-36-5.533
Timberwolves40-40-2.500

NBA Over/Under Records 2023-24

TeamOver RecordOver Pct.Under Pct.
Celtics43-39-0.524.476
Pacers42-39-2.519.482
Timberwolves41-40-1.506.494
Mavericks36-45-1.444.556

Basketball Betting at BetMGM

Are you looking for more basketball entertainment? Online sports betting is your ticket.

With a variety of different basketball betting markets, including parlays, player props, spreads, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.

If you don’t have an account, register today with BetMGM’s welcome offer. Once you have an account, check for daily sports betting promos.

BetMGM First Bet Offer $1,500
About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.