Timberwolves vs. Suns Prediction, Odds, Pick: NBA Playoffs, Game 4

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Phoenix Suns' Bradley Beal (3), left, Kevin Durant, center and Devin Booker, left, celebrate after an NBA basketball game against the Cleveland Cavaliers in Cleveland, Monday, March 11, 2024.
(AP Photo/Phil Long)
Shane Jackson @Sjacksonmgm Apr 27, 2024, 1:19 PM
  • The Timberwolves will face the Suns on Sunday.
  • Minnesota is a huge favorite to win the series with a 3-0 lead.
  • The Timberwolves are 1.5-point favorites in Game 4.

The Phoenix Suns face an early elimination on Sunday when they host the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 4.

Minnesota has made quick work of Phoenix in this opening-round series, winning all three games by double-digits. After Friday’s 126-109 victory, the Timberwolves are now -3000 favorites to win the series.

The Suns were 4.5-point favorites in Game 3, but they are now 1.5-point underdogs ahead of Sunday’s matchup.

Here’s a look at the NBA playoff odds and my Game 4 prediction:

NBA Playoff Odds – Timberwolves vs. Suns

  • Timberwolves moneyline: -120
  • Suns moneyline: +100
  • Spread: Timberwolves -1.5
  • Over/Under: 210.5
  • Series price: Timberwolves (-3000), Suns (+1600)

Timberwolves vs. Suns Prediction – NBA Playoffs, Game 4

Prediction: Timberwolves moneyline (-120)

Minnesota has been underrated by the betting market for this entire series and perhaps even longer, so it’s nice to see this team finally getting some respect in Game 4.

That makes sense to me, as it looks like the Suns have given up.

The Wolves know they need to take care of business to get some rest opportunities ahead of a huge matchup against the Denver Nuggets. They won’t want to waste a single day.

Minnesota’s defense has silenced a Phoenix team that entered the year as the No. 4 favorite in NBA championship odds. The Suns have been held to 99 points per game.

As long as the Timberwolves continue to bring it on the defensive end, I am comfortable betting on them to win at -125 or better.

NBA ATS Records 2023-24

TeamATS RecordATS Win Pct.
Magic51-31-0.622
Mavericks48-34-0.585
76ers48-34-0.585
Thunder46-35-1.568
Pacers44-36-3.550
Knicks43-36-3.544
Pelicans44-37-1.543
Celtics41-36-5.533
Heat40-40-2.500
Timberwolves40-40-2.500
Cavaliers38-42-2.475
Nuggets38-42-2.475
Lakers39-44-0.470
Clippers38-44-0.463
Suns35-45-2.438
Bucks35-46-1.432

NBA Over/Under Records 2023-24

TeamOver RecordOver Pct.Under Pct.
Lakers47-35-1.573.427
Thunder44-35-3.557.443
Celtics43-39-0.524.476
76ers43-39-0.524.476
Pacers42-39-2.519.482
Timberwolves41-40-1.506.494
Cavaliers40-41-1.494.506
Bucks40-41-1.494.506
Magic37-44-1.457.543
Knicks37-45-0.451.549
Clippers36-44-2.450.550
Mavericks36-45-1.444.556
Pelicans36-45-1.444.556
Suns36-45-1.444.556
Nuggets35-47-0.427.573
Heat35-47-0.427.573

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.