Nets vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 16, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Pacers are -8.5 favorites vs. the Nets
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSIN | YES

The Brooklyn Nets visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Nets vs Pacers Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nets are 29-34 against the spread, while the Pacers are 35-30 against the spread.


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Nets vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brooklyn Nets+8.5 -110O 227.5 -105+290
Indiana Pacers -8.5 -110U 227.5 -115-375

Pacers vs Nets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Saturday‘s game with 85.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nets and Pacers.

Pacers vs Nets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 54.0% confidence.


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  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 46 games (+18.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 41 games (+19.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 79 games (+11.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+10.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+8.90 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nets have gone 29-34 (-8.35 Units / -11.5% ROI).

  • 26-40 against the Moneyline (-21.2 Units / -22.2% ROI)
  • 32-33 against the Over for game total points (-4.3 Units / -5.92% ROI)
  • 33-32 against the Under for game total points (-2.2 Units / -3.03% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 35-30 (+2 Units / 2.67% ROI).

  • 37-31 against the Moneyline (-3.8 Units / -3.07% ROI)
  • 33-33 against the Over for game total points (-3.35 Units / -4.54% ROI)
  • 33-33 against the Under for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.48% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 57 games (-27.40 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 41 games (-25.10 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-22.85 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-21.10 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-19.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 71 games (-26.45 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 46 games (-24.60 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only covered the Spread in 13 of their last 45 games (-19.95 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-19.75 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 30 away games (-15.20 Units / -44% ROI)

Jump to:

Brooklyn Nets: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Nets are winless (0-9) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Nets are 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .328

The Nets are 2-19 (.095) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

The Nets are 4-23 (.148) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — T-6th-worst in the NBA. The Pacers have shot 38% from three this season — T-7th-best in the NBA.

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Brooklyn Nets

The Pacers are 23-6 (.793) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Nets have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — T-4th-worst in the NBA.

The Pacers are 30-31 (.492) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Pacers are 16-4 (.800) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647

The Pacers are 2-7 (.222) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

Injury Report: Pacers vs. NetsSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 16

  • Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Dariq Whitehead (Brooklyn Nets): Lower Leg, Out For Season
  • Jaylen Martin (Brooklyn Nets): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision

Brooklyn Nets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nets had a TS% of 53% in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Nets averaged 12.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,058 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

The Nets averaged 44.0 points in the paint per game (3,604 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Nets averaged 10.3 second chance points per game (423 points/41 games) at home last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have an eFG% of 58% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Pacers have averaged 30.6 assists per game (827 assists/27 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2

The Pacers have averaged 30.9 assists per game (1,698 assists/55 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Pacers are shooting 51% (2,575/5,066) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Brooklyn Nets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nets averaged 6.2 blocks per game (506 blocks/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nets allowed a TS% of 48% in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Nets allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,579/3,529) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Nets allowed an eFG% of 51% in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,805 rebounds/55 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pacers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,535 rebounds/137 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 7.7 steals per game (426 steals/55 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pacers have blocked 318 shots this season — 6th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.