Nuggets vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 09, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Nuggets are -14.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Watch the game on KJZZ | ALT

The Denver Nuggets visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Salt Lake City, UT.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs Jazz Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 35-41 against the spread, while the Jazz are 39-39 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-14.5 -110O 224.5 -105-1400
Utah Jazz +14.5 -110U 224.5 -115+800

Jazz vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Tuesday‘s game with 94.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Jazz.

Jazz vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 57.6% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 71 of their last 99 games (+26.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 57 of their last 91 games (+18.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 59 of their last 91 games (+16.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 89 games (+15.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 43 away games (+15.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 51 games (+12.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 57 games (+10.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+9.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 79 games (+7.70 Units / 9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 35-41 (-10.1 Units / -11.76% ROI).

  • 54-24 against the Moneyline (+14.95 Units / 5.3% ROI)
  • 31-45 against the Over for game total points (-18.5 Units / -21.55% ROI)
  • 45-31 against the Under for game total points (+10.95 Units / 12.77% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 39-39 (-3.85 Units / -4.49% ROI).

  • 29-49 against the Moneyline (-16.1 Units / -16.06% ROI)
  • 43-33 against the Over for game total points (+6.7 Units / 7.81% ROI)
  • 33-43 against the Under for game total points (-14.3 Units / -16.67% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 36 games (-27.55 Units / -55% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 78 games (-25.25 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 79 games (-24.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-21.80 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 79 games (-20.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 99 games (-27.00 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 98 games (-24.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 89 games (-24.30 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 43 away games (-20.95 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 83 games (-14.65 Units / -15% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Nuggets are 26-6 (.812) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 10-3 (.769) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Jazz have allowed 14.8 made three-pointers per game this season — worst in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 35-2 (.946) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Jazz have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — 9th-worst in the NBA.

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Jazz are 7-21 (.250) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Jazz are winless (0-4) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .404

The Jazz are winless (0-18) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .182

The Jazz were 1-9 (.100) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Injury Report: Jazz vs. NuggetsTuesday‘s Game, Apr. 9

  • Otto Porter Jr. (Utah Jazz): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
  • Hunter Tyson (Denver Nuggets): Finger, Out
  • Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets): Lower Leg, Out

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (1,239 assists/ 499 TOs) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,466 assists/ 1,080 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz averaged 58.8 points per game (4,823 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Jazz have averaged 15.6 turnovers per game (1,216 turnovers/78 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Jazz have averaged 15.9 second chance points per game (1,273 points/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Jazz have averaged 53.1 points in the paint per game (4,144 points/78 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,808 rebounds/78 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have averaged 7.1 steals per game (560 steals/79 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets have averaged 7.0 steals per game (548 steals/78 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets have allowed 11.2 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.8

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have allowed 20.1 fast break points per game (1,610 points/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.6

The Jazz have allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (618/1,488) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Jazz allowed 16.8 fast break points per game (1,377 points/82 games) last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Jazz allowed 18.5 fast break points per game (757 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3


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