Nuggets vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 09, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Kings are -1.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSCA | ALT

The Denver Nuggets visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs Kings Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 22-28 against the spread, while the Kings are 26-23 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets+2.5 -110O 232.5 -110+120
Sacramento Kings -2.5 -110U 232.5 -110-145

Kings vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Kings.

Kings vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 61.5% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 64 of their last 99 games (+24.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 73 games (+22.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+22.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 80 games (+19.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 38 away games (+12.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 73 games (+7.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 62 games (+5.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 22-28 (-8.95 Units / -15.55% ROI).

  • 36-16 against the Moneyline (+10.95 Units / 6.37% ROI)
  • 18-33 against the Over for game total points (-18.3 Units / -32.02% ROI)
  • 33-18 against the Under for game total points (+13.2 Units / 23.08% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 26-23 (+0.55 Units / 0.99% ROI).

  • 29-21 against the Moneyline (-18.05 Units / -15.95% ROI)
  • 25-24 against the Over for game total points (-1.4 Units / -2.55% ROI)
  • 24-25 against the Under for game total points (-3.5 Units / -6.36% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 69 games (-37.05 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 79 games (-25.95 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 77 games (-17.75 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 33 games at home (-16.60 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 41 games at home (-14.60 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 99 games (-36.00 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 85 games (-30.40 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 96 games (-28.40 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 65 games (-21.05 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 95 games (-20.30 Units / -14% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Nuggets are 21-5 (.808) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 5-2 (.714) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed 13.7 made three-pointers per game this season — T-5th-worst in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 13-3 (.812) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Kings are 22-1 (.957) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .792

The Kings were 1-11 (.083) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Kings were 12-7 (.632) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Kings were 37-28 (.569) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

Injury Report: Kings vs. NuggetsFriday‘s Game, Feb. 9

  • Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
  • Julian Strawther (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Game Time Decision

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,086/6,061) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,954/5,757) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.6 (795 assists/ 309 TOs) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Nuggets shot 50% (3,574/7,088) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings averaged 24.7 points per game (1,578 points/64 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.9

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 6.7 steals per game (349 steals/52 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (303 blocks/66 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (449/1,382) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets have allowed 11.2 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.9

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings allowed 10.9 points in the paint per game (698 points/64 games) in close and late situations last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.8

The Kings have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (472 blocks/132 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings have allowed 14.6 offensive rebounds per game (729 rebounds/50 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.