Nuggets vs Knicks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 18, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (47-23) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Knicks (41-30)
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Saturday, March 18, 2023 at 1:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on MSG & ALT2

The Denver Nuggets visit Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Knicks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in New York.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Nuggets vs Knicks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 37-32 against the spread, while the Knicks are 40-29 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Knicks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets O
New York Knicks U

Knicks vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 58.5% confidence.

Knicks vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 53.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nuggets and Knicks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 66 games (+25.57 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 63 games (+9.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 37 away games (+9.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 67 games (+8.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 1H Spread in 51 of their last 75 games (+27.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 52 of their last 81 games (+24.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 81 games (+16.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 2Q Spread in 41 of their last 64 games (+15.87 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+14.20 Units / 30% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 37-32 (+1.8 Units / 2.34% ROI).

  • 47-23 against the Moneyline (+3.85 Units / 1.93% ROI)
  • 36-34 against the Over for game total points (-1.4 Units / -1.82% ROI)
  • 34-36 against the Under for game total points (-5.6 Units / -7.27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 40-29 (+8.15 Units / 10.44% ROI).

  • 41-30 against the Moneyline (+8.4 Units / 7.81% ROI)
  • 36-33 against the Over for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.38% ROI)
  • 33-36 against the Under for game total points (-6.6 Units / -8.45% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 43 games at home (-25.57 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 83 games (-24.03 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-24.00 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-21.14 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 39 games at home (-20.13 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 66 games (-33.78 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 84 games (-24.02 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 37 away games (-19.10 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 86 games (-18.59 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 44 of their last 84 games (-18.30 Units / -13% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Nuggets are 45-16 (.738) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Nuggets are 29-9 (.763) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Nuggets are 16-5 (.762) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Nuggets are 13-9 (.591) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .468

New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Knicks are 23-32 (.418) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

The Knicks are 1-15 (.062) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240

The Knicks are 28-49 (.364) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Knicks are 15-40 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .358

Injury Report: Knicks vs. NuggetsSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 18

  • Jalen Brunson (Knicks): The Knicks have listed Brunson as QUESTIONABLE for Saturday’s game (Mar. 18) against the Nuggets.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): Gillespie has not played this season and no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Zeke Nnaji (Nuggets): The Nuggets have listed Nnaji as QUESTIONABLE for Saturday’s game (Mar. 18) against the Knicks.

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (5,068/9,911) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,413/6,651) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 52% (1,623/3,125) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets have an eFG% of 58% in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 21.8 assists per game (4,893 assists/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

The Knicks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,279 assists/ 1,473 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Knicks have averaged 22.3 assists per game (1,559 assists/70 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1

The Knicks have an eFG% of 51% in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (928 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (308 blocks/77 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets have 513 steals this season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (605 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,502 steals/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Knicks have averaged 6.1 steals per game (425 steals/70 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Knicks have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (5,611 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Knicks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (8,324 rebounds/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.