Nuggets vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 2

  • The Nuggets are -1.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Denver Nuggets visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Los Angeles, CA.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Nuggets vs Lakers Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 26-32 against the spread, while the Lakers are 28-34 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-1.5 +105O 228.5 -110-115
Los Angeles Lakers +1.5 -125U 228.5 -110-105

Lakers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Saturday‘s game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Lakers.

Lakers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 94 games (+26.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 93 games (+23.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 81 games (+23.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 88 games (+17.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 44 of their last 73 games (+12.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 81 games (+22.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 46 games at home (+15.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 57 games (+9.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+9.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 75% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 26-32 (-9.3 Units / -14.02% ROI).

  • 41-19 against the Moneyline (+11.9 Units / 5.98% ROI)
  • 21-38 against the Over for game total points (-20.8 Units / -31.54% ROI)
  • 38-21 against the Under for game total points (+14.9 Units / 22.58% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 28-34 (-9.45 Units / -13.85% ROI).

  • 34-28 against the Moneyline (+8.55 Units / 6.99% ROI)
  • 32-29 against the Over for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.15% ROI)
  • 29-32 against the Under for game total points (-6.25 Units / -9.16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 81 games (-30.25 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 95 games (-21.45 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 39 of their last 95 games (-19.05 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 82 games (-18.75 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 38 games (-18.70 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 94 games (-36.95 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 93 games (-32.90 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 88 games (-25.60 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 99 games (-21.35 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 99 games (-21.25 Units / -19% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Nuggets are 6-2 (.750) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed 14.2 made three-pointers per game this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 32-11 (.744) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 19-4 (.826) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — T-5th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Lakers were 4-13 (.235) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Lakers are 3-9 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394

The Lakers are 5-2 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Lakers are 33-22 (.600) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

Injury Report: Lakers vs. NuggetsSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 2

  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Foot, Out
  • Christian Wood (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
  • Hunter Tyson (Denver Nuggets): Finger, Out
  • Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets): Lower Leg, Out

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,954/5,757) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 50% (3,574/7,088) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.4 second chance points per game (237 points/54 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 10.1 second chance points per game (272 points/27 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Lakers have averaged 10.0 second chance points per game (541 points/54 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Lakers had 26.6 free throw attempts per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have allowed 11.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.5

The Nuggets have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (303 blocks/66 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (365 steals/54 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (449/1,382) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,107 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,991 rebounds/54 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Lakers averaged 6.4 steals per game (526 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.