- The Thunder are -9.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max
The Denver Nuggets visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK, OK.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Nuggets vs Thunder Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 41-46 against the spread, while the Thunder are 55-28 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Denver Nuggets | +10.5 -110 | O 227.5 -110 | +375 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | -10.5 -110 | U 227.5 -110 | -500 |
Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Thunder.
Thunder vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 87 games (+18.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 87 games (+13.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 away games (+12.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 51 of their last 87 games (+11.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 away games (+10.80 Units / 32% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 56 of their last 88 games (+25.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 72 games (+25.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 68 games (+16.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 60 games (+13.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 26 games (+12.70 Units / 15% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 41-46 (-9.6 Units / -9.81% ROI).
- 54-35 against the Moneyline (+2.5 Units / 0.98% ROI)
- 52-37 against the Over for game total points (+11.3 Units / 11.54% ROI)
- 37-52 against the Under for game total points (-20.2 Units / -20.63% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 55-28 (+24.2 Units / 25.29% ROI).
- 72-15 against the Moneyline (+23.25 Units / 4.74% ROI)
- 47-39 against the Over for game total points (+4.1 Units / 4.28% ROI)
- 39-47 against the Under for game total points (-12.7 Units / -13.27% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 68 games (-25.90 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 83 games (-23.15 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-20.28 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 59 games (-17.60 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 85 games (-17.32 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 87 games (-30.75 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 81 games (-24.06 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 87 games (-23.88 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 48 games (-23.70 Units / -43% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 34 of their last 84 games (-22.72 Units / -23% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Nuggets were 13-1 (.929) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Nuggets are 31-8 (.795) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557
The Nuggets are 49-16 (.754) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .660
The Nuggets are 25-11 (.694) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Thunder are 19-5 (.792) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436
The Thunder are 64-9 (.877) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596
The Thunder are 59-12 (.831) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505
The Thunder are 37-4 (.902) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have made 11.0 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0
The Nuggets have averaged 59.4 points in the paint per game (2,434 points/41 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.7
The Nuggets have averaged 31.0 points in the paint per game (2,540 points/82 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder have averaged 17.2 points per game (844 points/49 games) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.3
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Nuggets have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (859 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Nuggets have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,031 rebounds/82 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (434 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 10.3 steals per game (847 steals/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (3,109/7,130) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,505/3,504) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,541 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
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