Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 16

  • The Timberwolves are -2.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
  • Total (Over/Under): 204.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Denver Nuggets visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Nuggets vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 204.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 43-47 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 46-44 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets+2.5 -115O 204.5 -105+110
Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5 -105U 204.5 -115-130

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Thursday‘s game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 71 of their last 100 games (+18.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 100 games (+15.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 56 of their last 92 games (+14.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 98 games (+14.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 82 games (+12.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 65 games (+16.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 49 of their last 79 games (+15.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 88 games (+12.55 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 85 games (+10.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games (+9.50 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 43-47 (-8.7 Units / -8.59% ROI).

  • 64-28 against the Moneyline (+13.5 Units / 4.04% ROI)
  • 38-52 against the Over for game total points (-19.2 Units / -18.96% ROI)
  • 52-38 against the Under for game total points (+10.25 Units / 10.13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 46-44 (-2.5 Units / -2.49% ROI).

  • 62-29 against the Moneyline (+11.1 Units / 3.68% ROI)
  • 48-43 against the Over for game total points (+0.7 Units / 0.7% ROI)
  • 43-48 against the Under for game total points (-9.8 Units / -9.79% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 82 games (-30.95 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 84 games (-27.05 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 65 games (-26.00 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 85 games (-22.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 38 games at home (-22.35 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 100 games (-29.55 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 98 games (-25.95 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 100 games (-23.80 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 63 games (-17.30 Units / -10% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 49 away games (-17.25 Units / -31% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

Keys to the game – away

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

Keys to the game – home

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. NuggetsThursday‘s Game, May 16

  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out For Season
  • Collin Gillespie (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out For Season

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 50% (3,574/7,088) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets had an eFG% of 58% in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves had a TS% of 52% last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves averaged 14.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,222 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

The Timberwolves averaged 26.2 assists per game (2,145 assists/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

The Timberwolves averaged 14.7 fast break points per game (1,206 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 35.5 defensive rebounds per game (5,822 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nuggets have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Nuggets have allowed 11.3 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.6

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 52% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves stole the ball 657 times last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves have averaged 7.9 steals per game (647 steals/82 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.