Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 23

  • The Nuggets are -9.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Watch the game on ALT | RTNW

The Denver Nuggets visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Portland, OR.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 23-31 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 25-29 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-9.5 -110O 218.5 -110-450
Portland Trail Blazers +9.5 -110U 218.5 -110+333

Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Friday‘s game with 85.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Trail Blazers.

Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 63.1% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 65 of their last 99 games (+27.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 89 games (+21.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 77 games (+19.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 84 games (+19.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 42 of their last 69 games (+12.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 53 games (+14.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 41 games (+12.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 60 games (+11.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games at home (+7.90 Units / 29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 23-31 (-11.2 Units / -18.09% ROI).

  • 37-19 against the Moneyline (+7.85 Units / 4.17% ROI)
  • 20-35 against the Over for game total points (-18.5 Units / -30.06% ROI)
  • 35-20 against the Under for game total points (+13 Units / 21.1% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 25-29 (-6.75 Units / -11.42% ROI).

  • 15-39 against the Moneyline (-1.3 Units / -2.26% ROI)
  • 25-29 against the Over for game total points (-6.9 Units / -11.61% ROI)
  • 29-25 against the Under for game total points (+1.55 Units / 2.61% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 53 games (-20.85 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 71 games (-19.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 55 games (-17.70 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 60 games (-17.60 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 34 games at home (-15.30 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 99 games (-38.15 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 89 games (-30.60 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 84 games (-27.55 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 69 games (-22.25 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 95 games (-21.10 Units / -19% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 33-17 (.660) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .490

The Nuggets are 18-5 (.783) when they win the turnover margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Nuggets were 25-4 (.862) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .702

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Trail Blazers are winless (0-12) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Trail Blazers are 1-7 (.125) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Trail Blazers were 8-14 (.364) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Trail Blazers are 6-27 (.182) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 5th-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have averaged 52.7 rebounds/game this season — 6th-highest in the NBA.

Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsFriday‘s Game, Feb. 23

  • Moses Brown (Portland Trail Blazers): Wrist, Out
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers): Abdomen, Out
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Elbow, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season
  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
  • Hunter Tyson (Denver Nuggets): Finger, Out
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Denver Nuggets): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets): Lower Leg, Game Time Decision

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 50% (3,574/7,088) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,127/6,157) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (633 assists/ 433 TOs) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Trail Blazers are shooting 44% (984/2,254) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Trail Blazers have averaged 10.6 assists per game (551 assists/52 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,179 assists/ 775 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (365 steals/54 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (303 blocks/66 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets have allowed 11.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.5

The Nuggets allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (933/2,711) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,663 rebounds/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,738 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,401 rebounds/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers averaged 6.7 steals per game (553 steals/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.