Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 23

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 23, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Nuggets are -12.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 211.5 points
  • Watch the game on RTNW | ALT

The Denver Nuggets visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Portland, OR.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 208.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 32-36 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 33-36 against the spread.


Bet now on Trail Blazers vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM


Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-9.5 -110O 208.5 -110-450
Portland Trail Blazers +9.5 -110U 208.5 -110+340

Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 91.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Trail Blazers.

Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 52.0% confidence.


Bet now on Trail Blazers vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 91 games (+26.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 97 games (+21.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 99 games (+16.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 41 away games (+15.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 51 of their last 83 games (+14.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+13.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+9.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 60 games (+6.60 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 32-36 (-7.6 Units / -9.86% ROI).

  • 49-21 against the Moneyline (+15 Units / 6.17% ROI)
  • 27-41 against the Over for game total points (-18.1 Units / -23.49% ROI)
  • 41-27 against the Under for game total points (+11.35 Units / 14.75% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 33-36 (-6.6 Units / -8.57% ROI).

  • 19-51 against the Moneyline (-9.2 Units / -12.33% ROI)
  • 35-35 against the Over for game total points (-3.5 Units / -4.54% ROI)
  • 35-35 against the Under for game total points (-3.45 Units / -4.48% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 69 games (-23.00 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 71 games (-22.00 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 80 games (-20.95 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 80 games (-19.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 71 games (-19.10 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 99 games (-35.55 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 99 games (-25.80 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 98 games (-25.45 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 41 away games (-20.85 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 98 games (-16.90 Units / -15% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Nuggets are 24-5 (.828) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets were 24-7 (.774) when they win the turnover margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Nuggets are 15-6 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .449

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Trail Blazers were 15-31 (.326) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Trail Blazers are 2-15 (.118) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .322

The Trail Blazers are 12-26 (.316) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Trail Blazers are winless (0-22) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .115

Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 23

  • Scoot Henderson (Portland Trail Blazers): Groin, Out
  • Rayan Rupert (Portland Trail Blazers): Ankle, Out
  • Moses Brown (Portland Trail Blazers): Wrist, Out
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers): Abdomen, Out
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Elbow, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season
  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
  • Hunter Tyson (Denver Nuggets): Finger, Out
  • Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets): Lower Leg, Out

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (1,046 assists/ 420 TOs) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,365/6,565) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets averaged 29.9 assists per game (1,227 assists/41 games) at home last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,579 assists/ 1,048 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 51% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (820 assists/ 531 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Trail Blazers have a TS% of 48% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 7.0 steals per game (491 steals/70 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets have averaged 7.1 steals per game (549 steals/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets have allowed 11.2 made three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Nuggets have allowed 11.2 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.8

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,222 rebounds/69 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,960 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (74/278) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%

The Trail Blazers averaged 6.7 steals per game (553 steals/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


Bet now on Trail Blazers vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.