Nuggets vs Wizards Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 21, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Nuggets are -13.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
  • Watch the game on MNMT | ALT

The Denver Nuggets visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Washington, DC.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs Wizards Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 19-23 against the spread, while the Wizards are 19-21 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-12.5 -110O 237.5 -110-800
Washington Wizards +12.5 -110U 237.5 -110+550

Wizards vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Sunday‘s game with 92.7% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Nuggets and Wizards, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Wizards vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 52.5% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 65 of their last 99 games (+26.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 64 games (+18.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 33 away games (+18.20 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 71 games (+15.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 76 games (+15.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 74 games (+19.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 1Q Spread in 48 of their last 78 games (+15.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 78 games (+11.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 51 games (+9.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.10 Units / 29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 19-23 (-6.4 Units / -13.45% ROI).

  • 29-14 against the Moneyline (+6.35 Units / 4.83% ROI)
  • 17-25 against the Over for game total points (-10.5 Units / -22.22% ROI)
  • 25-17 against the Under for game total points (+6.3 Units / 13.32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 19-21 (-4.1 Units / -9.09% ROI).

  • 7-34 against the Moneyline (-23.7 Units / -55.31% ROI)
  • 22-18 against the Over for game total points (+2.15 Units / 4.76% ROI)
  • 18-22 against the Under for game total points (-6.2 Units / -13.76% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 61 games (-29.90 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 78 games (-28.45 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 65 games (-18.05 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 72 games (-16.95 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 73 games (-16.20 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 99 games (-38.35 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 87 games (-22.70 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 76 games (-22.60 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 33 away games (-21.45 Units / -59% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 98 games (-18.35 Units / -14% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 20-2 (.909) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .779

The Nuggets are 11-3 (.786) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569

The Nuggets were 44-25 (.638) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Wizards are 1-21 (.045) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .449

The Wizards are winless (0-4) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Wizards are 3-33 (.083) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .364

The Wizards are 2-14 (.125) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — T-3rd-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have shot 38% from three this season — T-9th-best in the NBA.

Injury Report: Wizards vs. NuggetsSunday‘s Game, Jan. 21

  • Ryan Rollins (Washington Wizards): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Johnny Davis (Washington Wizards): Calf, Out
  • Landry Shamet (Washington Wizards): Ribs, Game Time Decision
  • Delon Wright (Washington Wizards): Knee, Out
  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 52% (2,785/5,407) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,889/5,637) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets are shooting 50% (5,479/10,906) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 9.7 fast break points per game (396 points/41 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Wizards have averaged 29.5 points in the paint per game (1,208 points/41 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

The Wizards have averaged 9.8 second chance points per game (177 points/18 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Wizards have averaged 1.21 points per shot (453 points/373 shots) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.35

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have allowed 5.9 second chance points per game (253 points/43 games) in the second half this season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

The Nuggets have allowed 11.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.5

The Nuggets have averaged 7.5 steals per game (463 steals/62 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets have averaged 7.0 steals per game (299 steals/43 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 19.4 second chance points per game (350 points/18 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards have allowed 17.3 second chance points per game (711 points/41 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards have allowed 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (425 rebounds/41 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.5

The Wizards have allowed 19.2 offensive rebounds per game (787 rebounds/41 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.