Pacers vs Bulls Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 27, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Pacers are -2.5 favorites vs. the Bulls
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSIN | NBCH

The Indiana Pacers visit United Center to take on the Chicago Bulls on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Pacers vs Bulls Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 39-32 against the spread, while the Bulls are 34-36 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Bulls Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers-2.5 -115O 235.5 -110-155
Chicago Bulls +2.5 -105U 235.5 -110+125

Bulls vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bulls will win Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Bulls.

Bulls vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bulls will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 56.1% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 47 games (+19.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 26 away games (+13.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 40 away games (+10.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+10.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+9.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+12.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 37 games (+11.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+10.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 3Q Spread in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+9.70 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 39-32 (+3.8 Units / 4.67% ROI).

  • 41-33 against the Moneyline (-1.7 Units / -1.23% ROI)
  • 35-37 against the Over for game total points (-5.75 Units / -7.16% ROI)
  • 37-35 against the Under for game total points (-1.5 Units / -1.87% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 34-36 (-5.6 Units / -7.07% ROI).

  • 34-38 against the Moneyline (-7.35 Units / -6.55% ROI)
  • 39-31 against the Over for game total points (+4.9 Units / 6.19% ROI)
  • 31-39 against the Under for game total points (-11.9 Units / -15.03% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 81 games (-25.95 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-21.30 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 72 games (-19.45 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 79 games (-19.25 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 39 games at home (-17.75 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 63 games (-25.85 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 47 games (-25.45 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 80 games (-22.00 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-21.90 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 70 games (-20.10 Units / -25% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Pacers are 25-7 (.781) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .685

The Pacers are winless (0-8) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .117

The Pacers were 14-29 (.326) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Pacers were 18-26 (.409) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Bulls are winless (0-16) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .149

The Bulls are 8-12 (.400) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Pacers have averaged 13.0 turnovers per game this season — 10th-lowest in the NBA.

The Bulls were 4-16 (.200) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

The Bulls were 11-16 (.407) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

Injury Report: Bulls vs. PacersWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 27

  • Torrey Craig (Chicago Bulls): Knee, Out
  • Lonzo Ball (Chicago Bulls): Knee, Out For Season
  • Zach LaVine (Chicago Bulls): Foot, Out For Season
  • Patrick Williams (Chicago Bulls): Foot, Out For Season
  • Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 57.7 points in the paint per game (4,214 points/73 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.4

The Pacers have averaged 28.9 points in the paint per game (2,112 points/73 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.7

The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Pacers have averaged 58.3 points in the paint per game (2,156 points/37 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 21.7 points in the paint per game (1,562 points/72 games) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.5

The Bulls averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (400 points/82 games) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls have averaged 5.7 turnovers per game (409 turnovers/72 games) in the second half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls averaged 10.6 second chance points per game (866 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have allowed 58.7 points in the paint per game (4,282 points/73 games) this season — tied for highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.4

The Pacers averaged 7.7 steals per game (631 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pacers averaged 5.8 blocks per game (478 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (469 blocks/78 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,958 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bulls averaged 7.9 steals per game (644 steals/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Bulls stole the ball 644 times last season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Bulls have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (341 blocks/76 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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