Pacers vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 24, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Lakers are -3.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | BSIN | SPEC

The Indiana Pacers visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Pacers vs Lakers Over/Under is 241.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 38-31 against the spread, while the Lakers are 32-39 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+2.5 -105O 241.5 -105+125
Los Angeles Lakers -2.5 -115U 241.5 -115-150

Lakers vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Sunday‘s game with 61.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Lakers.

Lakers vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.5% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 45 games (+21.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 24 away games (+15.60 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 39 away games (+12.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 81 games (+8.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 78 games (+8.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 90 games (+23.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 50 games at home (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 49 games (+12.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games (+9.95 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 38-31 (+3.9 Units / 4.92% ROI).

  • 40-32 against the Moneyline (-2.7 Units / -1.98% ROI)
  • 33-37 against the Over for game total points (-7.75 Units / -9.92% ROI)
  • 37-33 against the Under for game total points (+0.7 Units / 0.9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 32-39 (-10.9 Units / -13.96% ROI).

  • 39-32 against the Moneyline (+8.3 Units / 5.95% ROI)
  • 38-32 against the Over for game total points (+2.8 Units / 3.58% ROI)
  • 32-38 against the Under for game total points (-9.75 Units / -12.49% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 90 games (-36.30 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 40 of their last 97 games (-23.60 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 40 of their last 91 games (-23.15 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 38 of their last 91 games (-22.05 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 83 games (-20.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 45 games (-27.45 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 61 games (-26.40 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-20.75 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-19.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 29 away games (-18.25 Units / -57% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Pacers were 15-20 (.429) when they lose the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pacers are 20-7 (.741) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Pacers are 12-4 (.750) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .464

The Pacers are 10-29 (.256) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .330

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Lakers are 6-2 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534

The Lakers are winless (0-6) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .091

The Lakers were 20-11 (.645) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Lakers are 9-4 (.692) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .603

Injury Report: Lakers vs. PacersSunday‘s Game, Mar. 24

  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Foot, Out
  • Christian Wood (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Pacers have averaged 17.4 fast break points per game (2,657 points/153 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Pacers have averaged 57.7 points in the paint per game (4,094 points/71 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Pacers averaged 10.0 fast break points per game (819 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Lakers have averaged 4.8 second chance points per game (333 points/70 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Lakers have averaged 10.2 second chance points per game (387 points/38 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Lakers have averaged 29.7 points in the paint per game (2,082 points/70 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.5

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers averaged 5.8 blocks per game (478 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers averaged 7.7 steals per game (631 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pacers blocked 478 shots last season — 2nd most among NBA teams

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 37.5 defensive rebounds per game (5,702 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,586 rebounds/70 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers averaged 6.4 steals per game (526 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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