Pacers vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 03, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Pacers are -6.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 243.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSIN | CW35

The Indiana Pacers visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in San Antonio, TX.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Pacers vs Spurs Over/Under is 243.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 32-27 against the spread, while the Spurs are 29-31 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers-6.5 -115O 243.5 -110-275
San Antonio Spurs +6.5 -105U 243.5 -110+220

Spurs vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Sunday‘s game with 76.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Spurs.

Spurs vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 53.2% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 games (+18.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 27 games (+16.65 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+11.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 away games (+11.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 80 games (+11.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 75 games (+14.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (+14.35 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 38 games (+11.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 38 games (+11.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+11.75 Units / 29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 32-27 (+2.3 Units / 3.37% ROI).

  • 34-28 against the Moneyline (-3 Units / -2.6% ROI)
  • 32-28 against the Over for game total points (+1.15 Units / 1.68% ROI)
  • 28-32 against the Under for game total points (-7.15 Units / -10.5% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 29-31 (-5 Units / -7.59% ROI).

  • 12-48 against the Moneyline (-24.4 Units / -38.76% ROI)
  • 29-29 against the Over for game total points (-2.95 Units / -4.47% ROI)
  • 29-29 against the Under for game total points (-2.9 Units / -4.4% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 55 games (-29.70 Units / -52% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 72 games (-20.80 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 62 games (-18.75 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 77 games (-17.90 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 54 games (-16.80 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 51 games (-24.90 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 80 games (-24.85 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-23.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-19.85 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 35 games (-19.20 Units / -50% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Pacers are 17-7 (.708) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA.

The Pacers are 22-6 (.786) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three this season — 4th-worst in the NBA.

The Pacers are 15-7 (.682) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Pacers are 16-4 (.800) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs are 3-28 (.097) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Spurs were 1-13 (.071) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Spurs were 1-44 (.022) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

Injury Report: Spurs vs. PacersSunday‘s Game, Mar. 3

  • Marcus Morris Sr. (San Antonio Spurs): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season
  • Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 17.3 fast break points per game (2,369 points/137 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Pacers have averaged 30.9 assists per game (1,698 assists/55 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Pacers have averaged 57.2 points in the paint per game (3,148 points/55 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.7

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs have averaged 1.20 points per shot (7,631 points/6,349 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs are shooting 32% from three (317/982) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs have averaged 1.23 points per shot (15,326 points/12,506 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,805 rebounds/55 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pacers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,535 rebounds/137 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 7.7 steals per game (426 steals/55 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (1,036/2,651) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs allowed 124.7 points per game (5,114 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 115.9

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.