Pacers vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 21, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Suns are -4.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 247.5 points
  • Watch the game on KTVK | BSIN

The Indiana Pacers visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Phoenix, AZ.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Pacers vs Suns Over/Under is 248.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 24-18 against the spread, while the Suns are 15-25 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+4.5 -110O 248.5 -110+150
Phoenix Suns -4.5 -110U 248.5 -110-185

Suns vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Sunday‘s game with 65.7% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Pacers and Suns, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Suns vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 55.1% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 68 games (+20.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 66 games (+18.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 away games (+14.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 away games (+13.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 38 of their last 61 games (+13.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 79 games (+28.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 86 games (+22.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 52 games (+20.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 71 games (+17.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 54 of their last 88 games (+15.15 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 24-18 (+4.2 Units / 8.88% ROI).

  • 24-19 against the Moneyline (+0.8 Units / 1.09% ROI)
  • 25-16 against the Over for game total points (+7.35 Units / 15.51% ROI)
  • 16-25 against the Under for game total points (-11.45 Units / -24.26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 15-25 (-12.65 Units / -27.89% ROI).

  • 23-18 against the Moneyline (-7.45 Units / -7.31% ROI)
  • 22-19 against the Over for game total points (+1.1 Units / 2.44% ROI)
  • 19-22 against the Under for game total points (-5.2 Units / -11.53% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 79 games (-37.20 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 88 games (-33.15 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 68 games (-31.40 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 68 games (-26.70 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 25 of their last 68 games (-21.35 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 66 games (-28.65 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 76 games (-26.60 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 65 games (-20.10 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 32 games (-20.00 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 70 games (-19.05 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Pacers are 12-5 (.706) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569

The Pacers are 17-7 (.708) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Pacers were 16-20 (.444) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Pacers were 15-20 (.429) when they lose the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Suns were 29-16 (.644) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Suns are 9-4 (.692) when they win the turnover margin this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534

The Suns are 13-4 (.765) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Injury Report: Suns vs. PacersSunday‘s Game, Jan. 21

  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Back, Out
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Heel, Out

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 63.6 points per game (2,671 points/42 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.4

The Pacers have averaged 17.7 fast break points per game (2,198 points/124 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Pacers have an eFG% of 58% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Pacers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (1,308 assists/ 573 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (431 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (863 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Suns have an eFG% of 48% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (1,075 assists/ 601 TOs) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,374 rebounds/42 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have allowed 60.3 points in the paint per game (2,534 points/42 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (378 blocks/62 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Suns have blocked 247 shots this season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (327 blocks/59 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.