Pacers vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 12

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 12, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Thunder are -6.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOK | BSIN

The Indiana Pacers visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Pacers vs Thunder Over/Under is 240.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 34-29 against the spread, while the Thunder are 39-24 against the spread.


Bet now on Thunder vs Pacers and all NBA games with BetMGM


Pacers vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+6.5 -115O 240.5 -105+200
Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5 -105U 240.5 -115-250

Thunder vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Tuesday‘s game with 78.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Thunder.

Thunder vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


Bet now on Thunder vs Pacers and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 39 games (+17.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 21 away games (+12.60 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 77 games (+11.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 36 away games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 42 of their last 72 games (+8.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 28 games at home (+21.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 42 of their last 68 games (+14.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 19 of their last 23 games at home (+14.45 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 55 games (+13.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 42 of their last 70 games (+9.90 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 34-29 (+2.1 Units / 2.89% ROI).

  • 36-30 against the Moneyline (-3.6 Units / -2.98% ROI)
  • 32-32 against the Over for game total points (-3.25 Units / -4.54% ROI)
  • 32-32 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -4.48% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 39-24 (+12.6 Units / 17.9% ROI).

  • 45-19 against the Moneyline (+12.3 Units / 6.43% ROI)
  • 33-27 against the Over for game total points (+3.3 Units / 4.68% ROI)
  • 27-33 against the Under for game total points (-9.2 Units / -13.09% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-19.55 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 72 games (-18.05 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 61 games (-17.80 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.80 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games (-14.85 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 55 games (-29.90 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 39 games (-22.90 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-22.70 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 37 away games (-19.35 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 78 games (-19.30 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Pacers are 18-7 (.720) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have allowed 13.5 made three-pointers per game this season — T-5th-worst in the NBA.

The Pacers are 19-5 (.792) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 48.6 rebounds/game this season — 3rd-lowest in the NBA.

The Pacers were 16-20 (.444) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Pacers were 15-20 (.429) when they lose the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Thunder are undefeated (12-0) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647

The Thunder are 29-4 (.879) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 50% this season — worst in the NBA.

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder are winless (0-4) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .089

Injury Report: Thunder vs. PacersTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 12

  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
  • Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 30.9 assists per game (1,698 assists/55 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Pacers have averaged 17.3 fast break points per game (2,369 points/137 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Pacers have a TS% of 55% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Pacers averaged 10.0 fast break points per game (819 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (369/893) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have averaged 10.9 second chance points per game (580 points/53 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Thunder have averaged 5.1 second chance points per game (271 points/53 games) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,805 rebounds/55 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers averaged 7.7 steals per game (631 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pacers have allowed 10.9 made three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed 19.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,017 rebounds/53 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.5

The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Thunder averaged 8.2 steals per game (676 steals/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have allowed 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (519 rebounds/53 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0


Bet now on Thunder vs Pacers and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

betmgm-nco-jamie-foxx

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.