Pacers vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 12

  • The Thunder are -6.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOK | BSIN

The Indiana Pacers visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Pacers vs Thunder Over/Under is 240.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 34-29 against the spread, while the Thunder are 39-24 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+6.5 -115O 240.5 -105+200
Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5 -105U 240.5 -115-250

Thunder vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Tuesday‘s game with 78.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Thunder.

Thunder vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 39 games (+17.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 21 away games (+12.60 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 77 games (+11.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 36 away games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 42 of their last 72 games (+8.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 28 games at home (+21.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 42 of their last 68 games (+14.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 19 of their last 23 games at home (+14.45 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 55 games (+13.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 42 of their last 70 games (+9.90 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 34-29 (+2.1 Units / 2.89% ROI).

  • 36-30 against the Moneyline (-3.6 Units / -2.98% ROI)
  • 32-32 against the Over for game total points (-3.25 Units / -4.54% ROI)
  • 32-32 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -4.48% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 39-24 (+12.6 Units / 17.9% ROI).

  • 45-19 against the Moneyline (+12.3 Units / 6.43% ROI)
  • 33-27 against the Over for game total points (+3.3 Units / 4.68% ROI)
  • 27-33 against the Under for game total points (-9.2 Units / -13.09% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-19.55 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 72 games (-18.05 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 61 games (-17.80 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.80 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games (-14.85 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 55 games (-29.90 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 39 games (-22.90 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-22.70 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 37 away games (-19.35 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 78 games (-19.30 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Pacers are 18-7 (.720) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have allowed 13.5 made three-pointers per game this season — T-5th-worst in the NBA.

The Pacers are 19-5 (.792) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 48.6 rebounds/game this season — 3rd-lowest in the NBA.

The Pacers were 16-20 (.444) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Pacers were 15-20 (.429) when they lose the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Thunder are undefeated (12-0) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647

The Thunder are 29-4 (.879) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 50% this season — worst in the NBA.

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder are winless (0-4) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .089

Injury Report: Thunder vs. PacersTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 12

  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
  • Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 30.9 assists per game (1,698 assists/55 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Pacers have averaged 17.3 fast break points per game (2,369 points/137 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Pacers have a TS% of 55% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Pacers averaged 10.0 fast break points per game (819 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (369/893) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have averaged 10.9 second chance points per game (580 points/53 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Thunder have averaged 5.1 second chance points per game (271 points/53 games) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,805 rebounds/55 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers averaged 7.7 steals per game (631 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pacers have allowed 10.9 made three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed 19.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,017 rebounds/53 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.5

The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Thunder averaged 8.2 steals per game (676 steals/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have allowed 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (519 rebounds/53 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0


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Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.