Pacers vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 22

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 22, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Warriors are -4.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSIN | NSBA

The Indiana Pacers visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Pacers vs Warriors Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 37-31 against the spread, while the Warriors are 37-30 against the spread.


Bet now on Warriors vs Pacers and all NBA games with BetMGM


Pacers vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+4.5 -105O 239.5 -105+165
Golden State Warriors -4.5 -115U 239.5 -115-200

Warriors vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Friday‘s game with 71.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Warriors.

Warriors vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.1% confidence.


Bet now on Warriors vs Pacers and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 44 games (+20.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 23 away games (+14.60 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 38 away games (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 65 games (+8.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 81 games (+8.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+10.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games at home (+10.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 31 of their last 51 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 55 games (+6.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 37-31 (+2.9 Units / 3.71% ROI).

  • 39-32 against the Moneyline (-4.3 Units / -3.18% ROI)
  • 33-36 against the Over for game total points (-6.65 Units / -8.63% ROI)
  • 36-33 against the Under for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.39% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 37-30 (+4 Units / 5.35% ROI).

  • 36-32 against the Moneyline (-11.8 Units / -8.3% ROI)
  • 35-33 against the Over for game total points (-1.3 Units / -1.74% ROI)
  • 33-35 against the Under for game total points (-5.5 Units / -7.35% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 81 games (-19.80 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 65 games (-19.75 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 47 games at home (-19.25 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games at home (-17.75 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 47 games at home (-15.35 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 44 games (-26.40 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 60 games (-25.40 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-20.80 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-18.95 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 67 games (-18.90 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Pacers are 2-8 (.200) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Pacers are 20-7 (.741) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Pacers were 6-10 (.375) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Pacers were 13-26 (.333) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Warriors are 18-2 (.900) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .788

The Warriors were 13-12 (.520) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Warriors are 7-15 (.318) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Warriors are 18-2 (.900) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — T-7th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 50% this season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Warriors vs. PacersFriday‘s Game, Mar. 22

  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out
  • Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 17.3 fast break points per game (2,631 points/152 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Pacers have averaged 58.1 points in the paint per game (1,976 points/34 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.0

The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Pacers have averaged 57.6 points in the paint per game (4,034 points/70 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.4

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Warriors averaged 29.2 assists per game (1,196 assists/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,351 rebounds/70 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (452 blocks/75 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pacers averaged 5.8 blocks per game (478 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers blocked 478 shots last season — 2nd most among NBA teams

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,479 rebounds/68 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (295 blocks/68 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Warriors have averaged 6.8 steals per game (462 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


Bet now on Warriors vs Pacers and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.