Pelicans vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 27, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 241.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSWI | BSNO

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Pelicans vs Bucks Over/Under is 241.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 25-19 against the spread, while the Bucks are 17-27 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+5.5 -115O 241.5 -115+170
Milwaukee Bucks -5.5 -105U 241.5 -105-210

Bucks vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Saturday‘s game with 71.6% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Pelicans and Bucks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Bucks vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 52.1% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 65 games (+29.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 79 games (+17.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 42 of their last 65 games (+17.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 59 games (+17.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 2Q Spread in 37 of their last 59 games (+12.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 71 games (+16.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 76 games (+10.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 53 of their last 77 games (+8.85 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 60 games (+8.75 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 25-19 (+4.15 Units / 8.4% ROI).

  • 26-19 against the Moneyline (+2.45 Units / 2.93% ROI)
  • 22-23 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -6.67% ROI)
  • 23-22 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -2.42% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 17-27 (-12.75 Units / -25.65% ROI).

  • 31-14 against the Moneyline (+1.1 Units / 0.67% ROI)
  • 27-18 against the Over for game total points (+7.2 Units / 14.53% ROI)
  • 18-27 against the Under for game total points (-11.65 Units / -23.56% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 71 games (-23.45 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 52 games (-22.55 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Spread in 21 of their last 59 games (-19.75 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 76 games (-19.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 76 games (-18.00 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 79 games (-26.40 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 61 games (-19.15 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-17.90 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 73 games (-17.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 73 games (-17.25 Units / -21% ROI)

Jump to:

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Pelicans are 16-7 (.696) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576

The Pelicans were 4-17 (.190) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

The Pelicans are 17-5 (.773) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .670

The Pelicans were 2-16 (.111) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 32-2 (.941) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Bucks were 25-7 (.781) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Injury Report: Bucks vs. PelicansSaturday‘s Game, Jan. 27

  • Jae Crowder (Milwaukee Bucks): Groin, Out
  • Pat Connaughton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out
  • Matt Ryan (New Orleans Pelicans): Elbow, Out
  • Larry Nance Jr. (New Orleans Pelicans): Ribs, Out

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (92 assists/ 71 TOs) in close and late situations this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (304/753) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (257/651) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans averaged 14.7 fast break points per game (1,206 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 1.44 points per shot (2,824 points/1,964 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks have averaged 62.8 points per game (2,824 points/45 games) in the second half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.4

The Bucks have an eFG% of 58% on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Bucks have averaged 124.0 points per game (5,582 points/45 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (774/2,394) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (287/903) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (213 blocks/45 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,940 rebounds/127 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks averaged 6.4 steals per game (521 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.