Pelicans vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 10, 2024, 5:31 PM
  • The Pelicans are -7.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSNO | WPCH

The New Orleans Pelicans visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Pelicans vs Hawks Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 34-27 against the spread, while the Hawks are 22-41 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans-6.5 -110O 222.5 -115-250
Atlanta Hawks +6.5 -110U 222.5 -105+200

Hawks vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Sunday‘s game with 82.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Hawks.

Hawks vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 55 of their last 77 games (+36.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 49 of their last 77 games (+19.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 48 of their last 77 games (+18.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 59 games (+17.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 23 of their last 31 games (+14.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games at home (+10.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 34-27 (+4.35 Units / 6.28% ROI).

  • 38-25 against the Moneyline (+7.55 Units / 5.62% ROI)
  • 28-35 against the Over for game total points (-10.5 Units / -15.15% ROI)
  • 35-28 against the Under for game total points (+4.2 Units / 6.06% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 22-41 (-23 Units / -33.26% ROI).

  • 29-34 against the Moneyline (-15.4 Units / -15.11% ROI)
  • 32-29 against the Over for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.14% ROI)
  • 29-32 against the Under for game total points (-6.2 Units / -8.95% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 27 of their last 78 games (-29.00 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 78 games (-27.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 17 of their last 57 games (-26.50 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 85 games (-22.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 85 games (-20.35 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-20.35 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 77 games (-17.50 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 19 games (-12.30 Units / -60% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 77 games (-11.35 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 80 games (-10.50 Units / -11% ROI)

Jump to:

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Pelicans are 20-5 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Pelicans were 22-14 (.611) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Pelicans are 10-1 (.909) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .631

The Pelicans are 22-9 (.710) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks are 8-14 (.364) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .438

The Hawks are 1-3 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394

The Hawks are 9-22 (.290) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Pelicans have averaged 52.4 rebounds/game this season — T-9th-highest in the NBA.

Injury Report: Hawks vs. PelicansSunday‘s Game, Mar. 10

  • Onyeka Okongwu (Atlanta Hawks): Toe, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Jose Alvarado (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Brandon Ingram (New Orleans Pelicans): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dyson Daniels (New Orleans Pelicans): Knee, Out
  • CJ McCollum (New Orleans Pelicans): Ankle, Out
  • Naji Marshall (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (364/904) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 53.3 points in the paint per game (4,372 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Pelicans averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (1,196 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Pelicans are shooting 31% from three (45/146) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (1,060 turnovers/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Hawks are shooting 47% (2,361/5,055) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Hawks have a 27% free throw rate (1,362 free throw attempts/5,055 field goal attempts) this season — 8th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The Hawks have made 13.8 three-pointers per game this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (839/2,578) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans averaged 4.1 blocks per game (337 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (352/1,087) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three (382/916) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Hawks have allowed 17.4 fast break points per game (486 points/28 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (4,695 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hawks have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,833 rebounds/54 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.