Pelicans vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 21

  • The Thunder are -8.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Pelicans vs Thunder Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 44-38 against the spread, while the Thunder are 46-35 against the spread.


Bet now on Thunder vs Pelicans and all NBA games with BetMGM


Pelicans vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+8.5 -115O 215.5 -105+260
Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5 -105U 215.5 -115-350

Thunder vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 80.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Thunder.

Thunder vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 52.9% confidence.


Bet now on Thunder vs Pelicans and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 55 of their last 80 games (+26.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+21.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 33 away games (+20.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 46 of their last 74 games (+15.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 52 games (+13.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 37 games at home (+24.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 25 of their last 32 games at home (+16.95 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+12.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 44 of their last 73 games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+11.80 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 44-38 (+2.2 Units / 2.38% ROI).

  • 50-34 against the Moneyline (+3.6 Units / 1.85% ROI)
  • 36-48 against the Over for game total points (-16.8 Units / -18.18% ROI)
  • 48-36 against the Under for game total points (+8.4 Units / 9.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 46-35 (+7.5 Units / 8.31% ROI).

  • 57-25 against the Moneyline (+16.35 Units / 5.74% ROI)
  • 43-35 against the Over for game total points (+4.5 Units / 4.98% ROI)
  • 35-43 against the Under for game total points (-12.2 Units / -13.54% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-21.20 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 58 games (-17.20 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 82 games (-17.00 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 82 games (-13.95 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 71 games (-13.80 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 74 games (-21.80 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 71 games (-19.50 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 73 games (-17.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 48 games (-16.40 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 60 games (-15.20 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Pelicans are 33-10 (.767) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 49.2 rebounds/game this season — 3rd-lowest in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 28-7 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pelicans were 22-14 (.611) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Pelicans are undefeated (15-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .884

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder are 39-6 (.867) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Thunder are 40-15 (.727) when they win the turnover margin this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Thunder were 3-4 (.429) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Injury Report: Thunder vs. PelicansSunday‘s Game, Apr. 21

  • Olivier Sarr (Oklahoma City Thunder): Ankle, Out For Season
  • Zion Williamson (New Orleans Pelicans): Hamstring, Game Time Decision

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 51.3 points in the paint per game (4,204 points/82 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pelicans are shooting 49% (3,484/7,164) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pelicans are shooting 41% from three (567/1,401) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans are shooting 38% from three (1,023/2,673) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder are shooting 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Thunder have an eFG% of 57% this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (1,045/3,130) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (681 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (684 steals/82 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Thunder have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder have allowed 18.0 offensive rebounds per game (2,954 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2

The Thunder have averaged 8.4 steals per game (1,370 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


Bet now on Thunder vs Pelicans and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

About the Author

BetMGM

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.