Pelicans vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 12

  • The Warriors are -4.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSBA | WVUE

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Pelicans vs Warriors Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 42-36 against the spread, while the Warriors are 43-36 against the spread.


Bet now on Warriors vs Pelicans and all NBA games with BetMGM


Pelicans vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+3.5 -105O 220.5 -105+150
Golden State Warriors -3.5 -115U 220.5 -115-185

Warriors vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Friday‘s game with 66.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Warriors.

Warriors vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.6% confidence.


Bet now on Warriors vs Pelicans and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 56 of their last 81 games (+27.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 52 of their last 76 games (+24.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 away games (+18.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 50 of their last 81 games (+16.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 48 games (+15.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 37 of their last 63 games (+9.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 73 games (+7.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.40 Units / 28% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 42-36 (+2.4 Units / 2.73% ROI).

  • 48-32 against the Moneyline (+3.3 Units / 1.74% ROI)
  • 35-45 against the Over for game total points (-14.5 Units / -16.48% ROI)
  • 45-35 against the Under for game total points (+6.5 Units / 7.39% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 43-36 (+3.4 Units / 3.86% ROI).

  • 45-35 against the Moneyline (-6.3 Units / -3.47% ROI)
  • 40-40 against the Over for game total points (-4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 40-40 against the Under for game total points (-4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 40 of their last 93 games (-20.80 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 77 games (-18.55 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 44 games at home (-16.10 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 37 games (-13.40 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 62 games (-12.40 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 70 games (-22.70 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 67 games (-19.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 78 games (-16.50 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 44 games (-16.10 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 69 games (-15.00 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Pelicans are 42-15 (.737) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Warriors have allowed 116.5 points per game this season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

The Pelicans were 10-8 (.556) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Pelicans are undefeated (15-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .882

The Pelicans are 25-7 (.781) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Warriors are winless (0-12) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .118

The Warriors were 8-12 (.400) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Warriors are 7-3 (.700) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Warriors are 9-3 (.750) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .467

Injury Report: Warriors vs. PelicansFriday‘s Game, Apr. 12

  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out
  • Jose Alvarado (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Brandon Ingram (New Orleans Pelicans): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dyson Daniels (New Orleans Pelicans): Knee, Out
  • CJ McCollum (New Orleans Pelicans): Ankle, Out
  • Naji Marshall (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 51.5 points in the paint per game (4,122 points/80 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Pelicans have 23.0 free throw attempts per game this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.8

The Pelicans are shooting 32% from three (68/215) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Pelicans have a 26% free throw rate (1,843 free throw attempts/6,988 field goal attempts) this season — 7th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors averaged 29.8 assists per game (2,446 assists/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (1,035/3,104) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,857 rebounds/80 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pelicans averaged 4.1 blocks per game (337 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pelicans have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (373 blocks/80 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 7.0 steals per game (556 steals/80 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (366 blocks/80 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,941 rebounds/162 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


Bet now on Warriors vs Pelicans and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

About the Author

BetMGM Staff

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.

Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.