Pistons vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 18, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Celtics are -15.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBSB | BSDT

The Detroit Pistons visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Boston, MA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The Pistons vs Celtics Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 33-32 against the spread, while the Celtics are 35-29 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+15.5 -110O 223.5 -115+800
Boston Celtics -15.5 -110U 223.5 -105-1400

Celtics vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Monday‘s game with 96.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Celtics.

Celtics vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 32 away games (+12.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 78 games (+10.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 50 of their last 70 games (+27.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 60 games (+20.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 45 of their last 70 games (+17.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 71 games (+14.90 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 39 of their last 66 games (+12.05 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 33-32 (-2.2 Units / -2.99% ROI).

  • 12-55 against the Moneyline (-29 Units / -40.99% ROI)
  • 33-33 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.48% ROI)
  • 33-33 against the Under for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.48% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 35-29 (+3.1 Units / 4.21% ROI).

  • 53-14 against the Moneyline (+14.65 Units / 4.5% ROI)
  • 32-34 against the Over for game total points (-5.35 Units / -7.26% ROI)
  • 34-32 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -1.63% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 98 games (-31.35 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 90 games (-24.70 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 95 games (-24.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 37 of their last 88 games (-18.50 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 90 games (-18.40 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 78 games (-36.90 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 78 games (-21.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 39 away games (-19.10 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 62 games (-18.35 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 72 games (-16.40 Units / -20% ROI)

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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons are 9-79 (.102) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

The Pistons were 10-33 (.233) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Pistons are 4-62 (.061) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .361

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Celtics are 31-6 (.838) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Celtics were 22-1 (.957) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Celtics were 17-5 (.773) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Celtics were 31-1 (.969) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .702

Injury Report: Celtics vs. PistonsMonday‘s Game, Mar. 18

  • Boston Celtics – No Injuries Reported
  • Isaiah Stewart (Detroit Pistons): Suspension, Out
  • Quentin Grimes (Detroit Pistons): Knee, Game Time Decision

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,884 assists/ 1,237 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons shot 45% (3,244/7,140) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Pistons shot 45% (1,646/3,632) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have made 16.4 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have made 16.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Celtics have a TS% of 56% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 5.8 steals per game (303 steals/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pistons have forced 11.7 turnovers per game (610 turnovers/52 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Pistons averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,756 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons have averaged 6.9 steals per game (467 steals/68 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 38.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,064 rebounds/53 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Celtics have averaged 38.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,176 rebounds/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 6.4 steals per game (337 steals/53 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Celtics averaged 6.4 steals per game (521 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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