Pistons vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 5

  • The Grizzlies are -1.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 210.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSDT | BSSM

The Detroit Pistons visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Memphis, TN.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Pistons vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 212.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 37-37 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 37-39 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+1.5 -115O 212.5 -110-105
Memphis Grizzlies -1.5 -105U 212.5 -110-115

Grizzlies vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Friday‘s game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 56.8% confidence.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 37 away games (+16.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 away games (+14.05 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 47 games (+9.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 84 games (+18.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 51 games (+17.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 39 games at home (+15.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 64 games (+15.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.00 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 37-37 (-3.7 Units / -4.43% ROI).

  • 13-63 against the Moneyline (-36.1 Units / -45.04% ROI)
  • 37-38 against the Over for game total points (-4.8 Units / -5.74% ROI)
  • 38-37 against the Under for game total points (-2.7 Units / -3.23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 37-39 (-5.9 Units / -7.06% ROI).

  • 26-50 against the Moneyline (+4.8 Units / 5.53% ROI)
  • 36-40 against the Over for game total points (-8 Units / -9.57% ROI)
  • 40-36 against the Under for game total points (+0.4 Units / 0.48% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 84 games (-30.15 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 29 of their last 78 games (-26.70 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 85 games (-26.35 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 39 games at home (-21.50 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 77 games (-17.30 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 73 games (-37.85 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 35 away games (-21.40 Units / -61% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-19.45 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 24 games (-18.35 Units / -71% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 64 games (-17.50 Units / -24% ROI)

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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons are 12-90 (.118) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Pistons are 5-71 (.066) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .363

The Pistons are 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Grizzlies are 2-25 (.074) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .313

The Grizzlies are 4-20 (.167) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 5th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have made 14.3 three-pointers per game this season — 4th-highest in the NBA.

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are 2-25 (.074) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — worst in the NBA. The Bucks have shot 37% from three this season — T-10th-best in the NBA.

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. PistonsFriday‘s Game, Apr. 5

  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Back, Out
  • Isaiah Stewart (Detroit Pistons): Suspension, Out
  • Quentin Grimes (Detroit Pistons): Knee, Game Time Decision

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,796 assists/ 1,174 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Pistons shot 45% (3,244/7,140) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Pistons averaged 108.3 points per game (4,440 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (1,349/3,124) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (2,864/6,579) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies have a TS% of 49% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,756 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons have averaged 6.3 steals per game (470 steals/75 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pistons have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,399 rebounds/157 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons have averaged 6.6 steals per game (1,044 steals/157 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 8.6 steals per game (662 steals/77 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Grizzlies averaged 8.3 steals per game (680 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Grizzlies averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,022 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (465 blocks/75 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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