Pistons vs Magic Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 03, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Magic are -10.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSFL | BSDT

The Detroit Pistons visit Kia Center to take on the Orlando Magic on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Orlando, FL.

The Magic are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).

The Pistons vs Magic Over/Under is 216.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 29-29 against the spread, while the Magic are 39-21 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Magic Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+10.5 -105O 216.5 -110+450
Orlando Magic -10.5 -115U 216.5 -110-650

Magic vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Magic will win Sunday‘s game with 88.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Magic.

Magic vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 73 games (+14.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 30 away games (+14.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 away games (+12.25 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 57 games (+10.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the Spread in 48 of their last 73 games (+20.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 72 games (+15.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+14.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 2Q Spread in 48 of their last 79 games (+13.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 47 games (+13.45 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 29-29 (-2.9 Units / -4.47% ROI).

  • 9-50 against the Moneyline (-27.35 Units / -44.65% ROI)
  • 30-28 against the Over for game total points (-0.8 Units / -1.23% ROI)
  • 28-30 against the Under for game total points (-5 Units / -7.7% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 39-21 (+16 Units / 24.32% ROI).

  • 34-26 against the Moneyline (+14 Units / 15.06% ROI)
  • 28-31 against the Over for game total points (-6.1 Units / -9.24% ROI)
  • 31-28 against the Under for game total points (+0.2 Units / 0.3% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 71 games (-20.50 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 38 games at home (-16.05 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 66 games (-13.70 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 39 games (-13.25 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 78 games (-12.60 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 78 games (-40.75 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 75 games (-21.70 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 78 games (-19.20 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 57 games (-16.15 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 70 games (-15.90 Units / -22% ROI)

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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons are 9-79 (.102) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

The Pistons are 3-15 (.167) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Pistons were 6-30 (.167) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Magic are 20-9 (.690) when they win the turnover margin this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have averaged 15.4 turnovers per game this season — 2nd-highest in the NBA.

The Magic are 25-8 (.758) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have allowed 121.1 points per game this season — 4th-worst in the NBA.

The Magic are 7-11 (.389) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

The Magic were 4-16 (.200) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

Injury Report: Magic vs. PistonsSunday‘s Game, Mar. 3

  • Markelle Fultz (Orlando Magic): Knee, Out
  • Isaiah Stewart (Detroit Pistons): Suspension, Out
  • Quentin Grimes (Detroit Pistons): Knee, Game Time Decision

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (652 assists/ 405 TOs) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Pistons averaged 21.6 assists per game (886 assists/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,884 assists/ 1,237 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (892 assists/ 619 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,906 assists/ 1,236 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic have a 30% free throw rate (1,374 free throw attempts/4,566 field goal attempts) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (894 assists/ 584 TOs) in the second half last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 5.8 steals per game (303 steals/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pistons averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,756 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,565 rebounds/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons have allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (319/786) in the second half this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have 1,036 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Magic have averaged 7.7 steals per game (1,036 steals/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Magic have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,831 rebounds/53 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Magic have 433 steals this season — 3rd most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.