Pistons vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Pacers are -11.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 246.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSIN | BSDT

The Detroit Pistons visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Indianapolis, IN.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The Pistons vs Pacers Over/Under is 246.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 26-27 against the spread, while the Pacers are 29-25 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+11.5 -105O 246.5 -110+500
Indiana Pacers -11.5 -115U 246.5 -110-700

Pacers vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Thursday‘s game with 89.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Pacers.

Pacers vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 55.6% confidence.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 77 games (+16.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 19 of their last 27 away games (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 75 games (+17.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 29 games at home (+15.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 46 of their last 75 games (+14.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 79 games (+14.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+13.85 Units / 34% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 26-27 (-3.7 Units / -6.23% ROI).

  • 8-46 against the Moneyline (-27.2 Units / -48.36% ROI)
  • 30-23 against the Over for game total points (+4.7 Units / 7.91% ROI)
  • 23-30 against the Under for game total points (-10 Units / -16.84% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 29-25 (+1.5 Units / 2.39% ROI).

  • 31-26 against the Moneyline (-2.85 Units / -2.79% ROI)
  • 31-24 against the Over for game total points (+4.55 Units / 7.25% ROI)
  • 24-31 against the Under for game total points (-10.05 Units / -16.05% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 79 games (-26.35 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 46 games (-25.10 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 79 games (-23.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 79 games (-22.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 37 games at home (-18.70 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 77 games (-44.60 Units / -56% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 77 games (-24.20 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 71 games (-18.60 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 38 away games (-17.90 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 52 games (-17.00 Units / -30% ROI)

Jump to:

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons are 13-48 (.213) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Pistons were 10-33 (.233) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Pistons are 3-19 (.136) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Pacers are 20-6 (.769) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .675

The Pacers are 18-10 (.643) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Pacers are 9-6 (.600) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have forced 12.9 turnovers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th-lowest in the NBA.

The Pacers were 6-10 (.375) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Injury Report: Pacers vs. PistonsThursday‘s Game, Feb. 22

  • James Johnson (Indiana Pacers): Illness, Out
  • Tyrese Haliburton (Indiana Pacers): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Bennedict Mathurin (Indiana Pacers): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Out
  • Isaiah Stewart (Detroit Pistons): Ankle, Out
  • Quentin Grimes (Detroit Pistons): Knee, Out

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (652 assists/ 405 TOs) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Pistons averaged 108.3 points per game (4,440 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4

The Pistons shot 45% (1,592/3,568) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Pacers have averaged 17.3 fast break points per game (2,369 points/137 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Pacers averaged 18.1 fast break points per game (1,481 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Pacers have a TS% of 56% at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 5.8 steals per game (303 steals/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pistons have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (563 blocks/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons have averaged 6.5 steals per game (877 steals/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pistons have forced 11.7 turnovers per game (610 turnovers/52 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,805 rebounds/55 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers blocked 478 shots last season — 2nd most among NBA teams

The Pacers averaged 5.8 blocks per game (478 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.