Pistons vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 14, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Spurs are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSW | BSDT

The Detroit Pistons visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in San Antonio, TX.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Pistons vs Spurs Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 38-40 against the spread, while the Spurs are 43-38 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+4.5 -105O 221.5 -110+165
San Antonio Spurs -4.5 -115U 221.5 -110-200

Spurs vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Sunday‘s game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Spurs.

Spurs vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 58.2% confidence.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 41 away games (+16.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 away games (+14.50 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 29 games (+13.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 52 games (+8.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 22 games (+19.40 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 59 games (+15.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 81 games (+13.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 48 games (+12.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 80 games (+11.35 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 38-40 (-6 Units / -6.73% ROI).

  • 14-67 against the Moneyline (-35.6 Units / -41.76% ROI)
  • 40-40 against the Over for game total points (-4 Units / -4.49% ROI)
  • 40-40 against the Under for game total points (-4 Units / -4.49% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 43-38 (+1.2 Units / 1.35% ROI).

  • 21-60 against the Moneyline (-8.95 Units / -10.31% ROI)
  • 39-40 against the Over for game total points (-5 Units / -5.61% ROI)
  • 40-39 against the Under for game total points (-2.9 Units / -3.25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 80 games (-22.20 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 34 of their last 81 games (-19.75 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 81 games (-17.95 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 80 games (-17.85 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 81 games (-17.05 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 78 games (-37.35 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 69 games (-21.00 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 39 away games (-19.75 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 81 games (-19.50 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 29 games (-16.30 Units / -53% ROI)

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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Pistons are 12-92 (.115) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Pistons are 4-30 (.118) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons are 10-64 (.135) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .445

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs are 3-61 (.047) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .308

The Spurs were 1-44 (.022) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

The Spurs are 7-35 (.167) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .412

Injury Report: Spurs vs. PistonsSunday‘s Game, Apr. 14

  • Marcus Morris Sr. (San Antonio Spurs): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season
  • Isaiah Stewart (Detroit Pistons): Suspension, Out
  • Quentin Grimes (Detroit Pistons): Knee, Game Time Decision

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,884 assists/ 1,237 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons shot 45% (3,244/7,140) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Pistons had a TS% of 49% in the first half last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 1.19 points per shot (4,551 points/3,809 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs had 21.2 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Spurs averaged 1.23 points per shot (4,473 points/3,651 shots) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,756 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons averaged 3.8 blocks per game (308 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pistons have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (381 blocks/81 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Pistons have averaged 6.5 steals per game (524 steals/81 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (3,780/7,460) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 52% (1,901/3,693) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Spurs averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,781 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%


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