Pistons vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 14, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Suns are -13.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSDT | KTVK

The Detroit Pistons visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Phoenix, AZ.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-105).

The Pistons vs Suns Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 26-26 against the spread, while the Suns are 22-30 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+13.5 -115O 237.5 -110+600
Phoenix Suns -13.5 -105U 237.5 -110-900

Suns vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Wednesday‘s game with 89.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Suns.

Suns vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 76 games (+15.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 51 games (+13.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 23 games (+12.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 away games (+11.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 57 of their last 83 games (+28.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 45 games at home (+24.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 54 of their last 84 games (+22.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 89 games (+20.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 1H Spread in 45 of their last 78 games (+9.70 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 26-26 (-2.6 Units / -4.46% ROI).

  • 8-45 against the Moneyline (-26.2 Units / -47.42% ROI)
  • 30-22 against the Over for game total points (+5.8 Units / 9.95% ROI)
  • 22-30 against the Under for game total points (-11 Units / -18.87% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 22-30 (-11.2 Units / -18.76% ROI).

  • 32-22 against the Moneyline (-4.2 Units / -3.3% ROI)
  • 27-27 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 27-27 against the Under for game total points (-2.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 83 games (-37.50 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 81 games (-36.05 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 89 games (-32.20 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 81 games (-32.05 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 32 of their last 81 games (-19.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 77 games (-44.60 Units / -56% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 76 games (-23.10 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 70 games (-20.30 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 51 games (-18.00 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 38 away games (-17.90 Units / -47% ROI)

Jump to:

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons are 9-79 (.102) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

The Pistons are 4-62 (.061) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .361

The Pistons were 6-30 (.167) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Suns are 10-3 (.769) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Suns are 68-29 (.701) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have allowed 119.9 points per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th-worst in the NBA.

The Suns are 12-4 (.750) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Suns were 24-5 (.828) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

Injury Report: Suns vs. PistonsWednesday‘s Game, Feb. 14

  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Out
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out
  • Isaiah Stewart (Detroit Pistons): Ankle, Out
  • Quentin Grimes (Detroit Pistons): Knee, Out

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (652 assists/ 405 TOs) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Pistons averaged 21.6 assists per game (886 assists/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

The Pistons have averaged 15.5 turnovers per game (806 turnovers/52 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (153 assists/ 121 TOs) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (863 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Suns have an eFG% of 50% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Suns have averaged 1.37 points per shot (6,222 points/4,545 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 5.8 steals per game (303 steals/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pistons averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,756 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons averaged 3.8 blocks per game (308 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pistons have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (283 blocks/68 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have blocked 316 shots this season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (316 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Suns have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (374 blocks/68 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Suns have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,895 rebounds/53 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.