Pistons vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 27, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -14.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSN | BSDT

The Detroit Pistons visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The Pistons vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 34-36 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 37-33 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+15.5 -110O 215.5 -105+875
Minnesota Timberwolves -15.5 -110U 215.5 -115-1600

Timberwolves vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Wednesday‘s game with 95.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 62.7% confidence.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 49 games (+14.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 away games (+12.75 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 80 games (+10.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 38 games at home (+19.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 50 of their last 81 games (+15.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+14.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 47 of their last 79 games (+10.95 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 34-36 (-5.6 Units / -7.07% ROI).

  • 12-60 against the Moneyline (-34 Units / -44.88% ROI)
  • 35-36 against the Over for game total points (-4.6 Units / -5.81% ROI)
  • 36-35 against the Under for game total points (-2.5 Units / -3.16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 37-33 (+0.6 Units / 0.77% ROI).

  • 49-22 against the Moneyline (+6.15 Units / 2.84% ROI)
  • 36-35 against the Over for game total points (-2.5 Units / -3.2% ROI)
  • 35-36 against the Under for game total points (-4.6 Units / -5.89% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 85 games (-26.00 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 85 games (-25.80 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 85 games (-23.05 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 76 games (-22.50 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 82 games (-21.00 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 80 games (-38.90 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-21.70 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 32 away games (-20.40 Units / -64% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 1 of their last 20 games (-18.50 Units / -87% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 77 games (-17.85 Units / -20% ROI)

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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Pistons are 4-70 (.054) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .362

The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons are 12-89 (.119) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454

The Pistons are 4-28 (.125) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Timberwolves are 21-6 (.778) when they win the turnover margin this season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Pistons have averaged 15.5 turnovers per game this season — T-highest in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 10-1 (.909) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Timberwolves are 51-10 (.836) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have allowed opponents to shoot 49% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 22-6 (.786) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. PistonsWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 27

  • Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out
  • Isaiah Stewart (Detroit Pistons): Suspension, Out
  • Quentin Grimes (Detroit Pistons): Knee, Game Time Decision

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,884 assists/ 1,237 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons shot 45% (3,244/7,140) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,762 assists/ 1,149 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 43% (331/770) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (2,145 assists/ 1,258 TOs) last season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (880 points/71 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Timberwolves averaged 15.3 turnovers per game (1,258 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 4th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.2 steals per game (445 steals/72 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pistons have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,294 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (651 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (343 blocks/72 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,592 rebounds/71 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 49% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Timberwolves averaged 5.4 blocks per game (444 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (5,471 rebounds/153 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.