Raptors vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 5

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Banner showing the logos of Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee bucks
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 05, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Bucks are -15.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on WMLW | SNET

The Toronto Raptors visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Raptors vs Bucks Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 31-44 against the spread, while the Bucks are 33-42 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors+14.5 -110O 230.5 -115+750
Milwaukee Bucks -14.5 -110U 230.5 -105-1200

Bucks vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Friday‘s game with 89.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Bucks.

Bucks vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 58.1% confidence.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 away games (+10.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 away games (+9.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games (+9.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+6.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games (+8.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+8.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 36 games at home (+8.00 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 31-44 (-17.4 Units / -20.81% ROI).

  • 23-53 against the Moneyline (-35.05 Units / -32.94% ROI)
  • 39-37 against the Over for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.03% ROI)
  • 37-39 against the Under for game total points (-5.8 Units / -6.95% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 33-42 (-13.2 Units / -15.81% ROI).

  • 47-29 against the Moneyline (-30.5 Units / -11.17% ROI)
  • 38-38 against the Over for game total points (-3.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 38-38 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 83 games (-47.70 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 83 games (-27.25 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 46 of their last 82 games (-24.05 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 42 games at home (-21.75 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 69 games (-19.45 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 80 games (-38.90 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 71 games (-21.95 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 76 games (-21.00 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 71 games (-20.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 71 games (-20.90 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Raptors are 1-15 (.062) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .465

The Raptors were undefeated (8-0) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Raptors were 3-6 (.333) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Raptors are 4-34 (.105) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks were 25-7 (.781) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Bucks are 26-8 (.765) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-5th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Bucks vs. RaptorsFriday‘s Game, Apr. 5

  • Khris Middleton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out
  • Markquis Nowell (Toronto Raptors): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • RJ Barrett (Toronto Raptors): Knee, Out

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 5.8 turnovers per game (476 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Raptors have averaged 20.9 fast break points per game (815 points/39 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

The Raptors have averaged 18.4 fast break points per game (2,887 points/157 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Raptors have averaged 9.3 fast break points per game (699 points/75 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have 24.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.9

The Bucks have averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,477 points/3,210 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks have averaged 1.47 points per shot (1,290 points/877 shots) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.33

The Bucks averaged 14.4 second chance points per game (1,180 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 9.4 steals per game (772 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors stole the ball 772 times last season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,141 rebounds/157 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.5 defensive rebounds per game (6,050 rebounds/157 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,796 rebounds/75 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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