Raptors vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 23, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Hawks are -6.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 245.5 points
  • Watch the game on WPCH

The Toronto Raptors visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Raptors vs Hawks Over/Under is 245.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 26-29 against the spread, while the Hawks are 17-38 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors+7.5 -110O 245.5 -110+240
Atlanta Hawks -7.5 -110U 245.5 -110-300

Hawks vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Friday‘s game with 78.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Hawks.

Hawks vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.0% confidence.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 39 away games (+15.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+12.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 26 away games (+11.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 42 of their last 72 games (+9.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 79 games (+8.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 44 games at home (+17.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 52 of their last 85 games (+13.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+13.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+10.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+10.00 Units / 22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 26-29 (-5.9 Units / -9.57% ROI).

  • 20-36 against the Moneyline (-23.25 Units / -27.45% ROI)
  • 29-27 against the Over for game total points (-0.7 Units / -1.14% ROI)
  • 27-29 against the Under for game total points (-4.85 Units / -7.88% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 17-38 (-24.7 Units / -40.93% ROI).

  • 24-31 against the Moneyline (-15.5 Units / -17.14% ROI)
  • 30-24 against the Over for game total points (+3.6 Units / 5.95% ROI)
  • 24-30 against the Under for game total points (-9 Units / -14.88% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 29 of their last 84 games (-31.40 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 85 games (-26.85 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 49 games (-24.25 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 70 games (-24.15 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 84 games (-23.75 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 76 games (-28.40 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-20.95 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 39 away games (-20.50 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 61 games (-19.50 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 51 games (-19.50 Units / -29% ROI)

Jump to:

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Raptors were undefeated (8-0) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Raptors were 23-16 (.590) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Raptors are 8-10 (.444) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Raptors were 6-8 (.429) when they lose the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Hawks are 21-1 (.955) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .793

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks are 5-6 (.455) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Hawks are 8-14 (.364) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .438

Injury Report: Hawks vs. RaptorsFriday‘s Game, Feb. 23

  • Onyeka Okongwu (Atlanta Hawks): Toe, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Out
  • Wesley Matthews (Atlanta Hawks): Illness, Out
  • AJ Griffin (Atlanta Hawks): Illness, Out
  • Clint Capela (Atlanta Hawks): Thigh, Out
  • Markquis Nowell (Toronto Raptors): Hamstring, Out
  • RJ Barrett (Toronto Raptors): Personal, Game Time Decision

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 17.7 fast break points per game (2,409 points/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Raptors averaged 5.8 turnovers per game (476 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Raptors had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (987 assists/ 480 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Raptors have averaged 9.0 fast break points per game (488 points/54 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks shot 35% from three (882/2,505) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have averaged 18.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,001 rebounds/54 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.5

The Hawks averaged 14.3 second chance points per game (1,174 points/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Hawks have averaged 119.7 points per game (16,285 points/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.0

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 9.4 steals per game (772 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors stole the ball 772 times last season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (4,451 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have allowed 17.4 fast break points per game (486 points/28 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks have 412 steals this season — tied for 10th most among NBA teams

The Hawks have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (241 blocks/54 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three (382/916) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.