Raptors vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 05, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Pelicans are -11.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSNO

The Toronto Raptors visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Raptors vs Pelicans Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 23-25 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 27-21 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors+10.5 -110O 230.5 -110+400
New Orleans Pelicans -10.5 -110U 230.5 -110-550

Pelicans vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Monday‘s game with 87.3% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Raptors and Pelicans, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Pelicans vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 37 away games (+16.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 74 games (+10.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 away games (+8.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 38 of their last 65 games (+8.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 69 games (+29.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 44 of their last 69 games (+17.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 63 games (+15.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 71 games (+14.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games (+12.00 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 23-25 (-4.5 Units / -8.34% ROI).

  • 17-32 against the Moneyline (-20.95 Units / -28.23% ROI)
  • 26-23 against the Over for game total points (+0.7 Units / 1.3% ROI)
  • 23-26 against the Under for game total points (-5.55 Units / -10.31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 27-21 (+3.95 Units / 7.34% ROI).

  • 28-21 against the Moneyline (+2.45 Units / 2.72% ROI)
  • 23-26 against the Over for game total points (-5.6 Units / -10.39% ROI)
  • 26-23 against the Under for game total points (+0.7 Units / 1.3% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-21.85 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 77 games (-21.70 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-19.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 77 games (-15.90 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 65 games (-15.15 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 69 games (-26.10 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 37 away games (-20.50 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-18.65 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 54 games (-17.20 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 44 games (-16.75 Units / -29% ROI)

Jump to:

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Raptors were undefeated (8-0) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Raptors are 5-19 (.208) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 8th-worst in the NBA. The Pelicans have averaged 52.5 rebounds/game this season — 10th-highest in the NBA.

The Raptors are 8-12 (.400) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Raptors are 4-20 (.167) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .416

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Pelicans were 10-8 (.556) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Pelicans are 18-4 (.818) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Pelicans are 13-6 (.684) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Pelicans are 6-7 (.462) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. RaptorsMonday‘s Game, Feb. 5

  • Malcolm Hill (New Orleans Pelicans): Undisclosed, Game Time Decision
  • Immanuel Quickley (Toronto Raptors): Quadriceps, Game Time Decision
  • Jakob Poeltl (Toronto Raptors): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Markquis Nowell (Toronto Raptors): Hamstring, Out
  • RJ Barrett (Toronto Raptors): Knee, Out

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (956 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Raptors have averaged 8.5 fast break points per game (1,109 points/131 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Raptors have averaged 9.3 fast break points per game (454 points/49 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Raptors have averaged 17.8 fast break points per game (2,338 points/131 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 1.33 points per shot (5,706 points/4,305 shots) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Pelicans have a TS% of 47% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Pelicans are shooting 38% from three (590/1,563) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans had 24.4 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 9.4 steals per game (772 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,295 rebounds/131 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors stole the ball 772 times last season — most among NBA teams

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (317/995) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (804/2,486) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans stole the ball 681 times last season — 2nd most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.