Raptors vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 11

  • The Pistons are -4.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDDT | TSN

The Toronto Raptors visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit, MI.

The Pistons are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Raptors vs Pistons Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 21-15 against the spread, while the Pistons are 20-17 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors+5.5 -110O 225.5 -110+180
Detroit Pistons -5.5 -110U 225.5 -110-225

Pistons vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Saturday‘s game with 64.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Pistons.

Pistons vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 58.9% confidence.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 34 away games (+12.06 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 away games (+8.32 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 38 away games (+8.23 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 2Q Spread in 21 of their last 34 away games (+6.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 52 of their last 81 games (+22.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 71 games (+19.93 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 68 games (+17.59 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+11.10 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 57 games (+10.65 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 21-15 (+4.5 Units / 10.77% ROI).

  • 8-30 against the Moneyline (-16.9 Units / -43.44% ROI)
  • 20-18 against the Over for game total points (+0.2 Units / 0.48% ROI)
  • 18-20 against the Under for game total points (-4 Units / -9.57% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 20-17 (+1.3 Units / 3.11% ROI).

  • 19-19 against the Moneyline (+6.75 Units / 13.75% ROI)
  • 19-17 against the Over for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.72% ROI)
  • 17-19 against the Under for game total points (-3.9 Units / -9.33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 82 games (-28.90 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 68 games (-21.50 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 70 games (-16.87 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 70 games (-15.65 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 78 games (-14.30 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 82 games (-34.20 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 34 away games (-13.35 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 72 games (-13.30 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 38 away games (-13.21 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 48 games (-13.13 Units / -24% ROI)

Jump to:

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Raptors are 1-18 (.053) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .437

The Raptors are 1-8 (.111) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .388

The Raptors are 4-47 (.078) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .219

The Raptors are 10-53 (.159) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .445

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Pistons are 18-57 (.240) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Pistons are 7-84 (.077) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .365

The Pistons are 1-42 (.023) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .254

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 9.5 fast break points per game (1,804 points/189 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Raptors have averaged 18.2 fast break points per game (3,433 points/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Raptors averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (847 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

The Raptors averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,587 assists/ 975 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (2,088 assists/ 1,248 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (2,317 assists/ 1,415 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Pistons averaged 1.25 points per shot (9,010 points/7,236 shots) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,297 rebounds/38 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Raptors stole the ball 633 times last season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Raptors have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,066 rebounds/120 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Raptors have averaged 8.5 steals per game (1,598 steals/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.7 steals per game (387 steals/58 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Pistons have averaged 6.8 steals per game (810 steals/120 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pistons have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,262 steals/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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