Raptors vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 07, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Suns are -10.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on KTVK | SNET

The Toronto Raptors visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Phoenix, AZ.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Raptors vs Suns Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 28-33 against the spread, while the Suns are 25-35 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors+10.5 -115O 233.5 -105+375
Phoenix Suns -10.5 -105U 233.5 -115-500

Suns vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Thursday‘s game with 87.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Suns.

Suns vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.3% confidence.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 34 away games (+13.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 28 away games (+12.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games (+12.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 45 of their last 78 games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 59 of their last 90 games (+25.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 49 games at home (+24.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 90 games (+24.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 42 games (+14.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 49 games at home (+14.65 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 28-33 (-8.3 Units / -12.16% ROI).

  • 23-39 against the Moneyline (-21.1 Units / -22.82% ROI)
  • 32-29 against the Over for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.15% ROI)
  • 29-32 against the Under for game total points (-6.15 Units / -9.02% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 25-35 (-13.75 Units / -20.06% ROI).

  • 36-26 against the Moneyline (-5.6 Units / -3.72% ROI)
  • 27-35 against the Over for game total points (-11.5 Units / -16.86% ROI)
  • 35-27 against the Under for game total points (+5.3 Units / 7.77% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 89 games (-39.65 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 89 games (-35.65 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 90 games (-35.25 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 90 games (-34.65 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 35 of their last 89 games (-22.45 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 74 games (-25.65 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-19.55 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 67 games (-19.45 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 38 away games (-17.15 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 78 games (-16.75 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Raptors were undefeated (8-0) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Raptors were 10-27 (.270) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Raptors were undefeated (9-0) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

The Raptors were 18-19 (.486) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Suns are 15-4 (.789) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Suns were 1-12 (.077) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

The Suns are 45-29 (.608) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

Injury Report: Suns vs. RaptorsThursday‘s Game, Mar. 7

  • Jusuf Nurkic (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Out
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out
  • Markquis Nowell (Toronto Raptors): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • RJ Barrett (Toronto Raptors): Knee, Out

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 17.7 fast break points per game (2,409 points/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Raptors averaged 5.8 turnovers per game (476 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Raptors had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (987 assists/ 480 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Raptors averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (956 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 5.4 fast break points per game (441 points/82 games) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Suns averaged 1.4 fast break points per game (84 points/59 games) in close and late situations last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Suns had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (1,066 assists/ 557 TOs) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns have averaged 11.9 fast break points per game (1,605 points/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 9.4 steals per game (772 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors stole the ball 772 times last season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors have averaged 8.7 steals per game (583 steals/67 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,895 rebounds/53 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Suns have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (316 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Suns have blocked 316 shots this season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.