Raptors vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder are -8.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOK

The Toronto Raptors visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Raptors vs Thunder Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 22-25 against the spread, while the Thunder are 31-17 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors+9.5 -115O 237.5 -110+310
Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5 -105U 237.5 -110-400

Thunder vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 78.3% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Raptors and Thunder, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Thunder vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 36 away games (+17.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 38 of their last 64 games (+9.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 73 games (+9.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 64 games (+8.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 21 games at home (+14.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 34 of their last 53 games (+14.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 82 games (+14.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 35 of their last 55 games (+12.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+12.65 Units / 31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 22-25 (-5.5 Units / -10.41% ROI).

  • 17-31 against the Moneyline (-19.95 Units / -27.25% ROI)
  • 25-23 against the Over for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.57% ROI)
  • 23-25 against the Under for game total points (-4.55 Units / -8.61% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 31-17 (+12.25 Units / 22.75% ROI).

  • 34-15 against the Moneyline (+11.45 Units / 8.99% ROI)
  • 26-22 against the Over for game total points (+1.8 Units / 3.34% ROI)
  • 22-26 against the Under for game total points (-6.6 Units / -12.24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-24.25 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-18.05 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-13.40 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 78 games (-12.80 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 82 games (-11.40 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 68 games (-25.10 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 36 away games (-21.50 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 53 games (-18.90 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 43 games (-18.75 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 77 games (-17.55 Units / -21% ROI)

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Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Raptors were undefeated (8-0) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Raptors were 10-27 (.270) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Raptors were 8-4 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Raptors are 8-10 (.444) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Thunder are undefeated (12-0) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Thunder are 23-4 (.852) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Raptors have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — 9th-worst in the NBA.

The Thunder are 23-2 (.920) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Thunder are 32-15 (.681) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .509

Injury Report: Thunder vs. RaptorsSunday‘s Game, Feb. 4

  • Isaiah Joe (Oklahoma City Thunder): Undisclosed, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Williams (Oklahoma City Thunder): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Immanuel Quickley (Toronto Raptors): Quadriceps, Game Time Decision
  • Jakob Poeltl (Toronto Raptors): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Markquis Nowell (Toronto Raptors): Hamstring, Out
  • RJ Barrett (Toronto Raptors): Knee, Out

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 5.8 turnovers per game (476 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Raptors had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (987 assists/ 480 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Raptors have averaged 9.3 fast break points per game (447 points/48 games) in the second half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Raptors averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (956 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (332/803) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (311/776) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have an eFG% of 59% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors averaged 9.4 steals per game (772 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors stole the ball 772 times last season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (4,257 rebounds/130 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (479 rebounds/49 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (322 blocks/49 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Thunder have allowed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,213 rebounds/131 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder forced 16.8 turnovers per game (1,375 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.