Rockets vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 13, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics are -15.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBSB | SCHN

The Houston Rockets visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Boston, MA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-115).

The Rockets vs Celtics Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 20-15 against the spread, while the Celtics are 18-18 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+14.5 -105O 227.5 -110+800
Boston Celtics -14.5 -115U 227.5 -110-1400

Celtics vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Saturday‘s game with 94.3% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Rockets and Celtics, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Celtics vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 54.1% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 52 games (+15.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games (+14.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 38 of their last 61 games (+13.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 away games (+11.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 49 games (+11.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 55 of their last 87 games (+22.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 66 of their last 87 games (+21.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Moneyline in their last 18 games at home (+18.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 95 games (+14.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+13.50 Units / 28% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 20-15 (+3.5 Units / 8.59% ROI).

  • 19-18 against the Moneyline (+6.45 Units / 11.62% ROI)
  • 16-20 against the Over for game total points (-6 Units / -14.74% ROI)
  • 20-16 against the Under for game total points (+2.4 Units / 5.9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 18-18 (-1.75 Units / -4.18% ROI).

  • 29-9 against the Moneyline (+12.35 Units / 8.34% ROI)
  • 21-17 against the Over for game total points (+2.3 Units / 5.5% ROI)
  • 17-21 against the Under for game total points (-6.1 Units / -14.59% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 97 games (-25.35 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 22 of their last 61 games (-21.15 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 96 games (-20.20 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (-17.55 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 91 games (-17.10 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 75 games (-21.40 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 36 away games (-21.20 Units / -55% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 36 away games (-15.80 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 74 games (-15.30 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 70 games (-14.20 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Rockets were 12-44 (.214) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Celtics are 27-5 (.844) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568

The Celtics were 17-5 (.773) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Celtics were 31-1 (.969) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .702

The Celtics were 44-17 (.721) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

Injury Report: Celtics vs. RocketsSaturday‘s Game, Jan. 13

  • Kristaps Porzingis (Boston Celtics): Calf, Game Time Decision
  • Jeff Green (Houston Rockets): Personal, Game Time Decision
  • Victor Oladipo (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out
  • Amen Thompson (Houston Rockets): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jock Landale (Houston Rockets): Illness, Game Time Decision

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets shot 33% from three (856/2,619) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have made 16.0 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

The Celtics have averaged 21.2 points in the paint per game (806 points/38 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

The Celtics have a TS% of 56% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have allowed 9.5 fast break points per game (351 points/37 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.2

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 38.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,460 rebounds/38 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,572 rebounds/120 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (2,090 points/1,779 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.27


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.