Rockets vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 14, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Rockets are -2.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSM | SCHN

The Houston Rockets visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis, TN.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Rockets vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 27-24 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 25-29 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets-2.5 -115O 218.5 -110-145
Memphis Grizzlies +2.5 -105U 218.5 -110+120

Grizzlies vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Wednesday‘s game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 59.3% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+13.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 away games (+12.30 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 22 away games (+11.55 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 77 games (+10.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 48 games (+9.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 84 games (+18.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 30 games at home (+17.25 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+13.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+12.90 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 86 games (+12.50 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 27-24 (+0.65 Units / 1.11% ROI).

  • 24-29 against the Moneyline (-3.1 Units / -4.02% ROI)
  • 24-28 against the Over for game total points (-6.8 Units / -11.66% ROI)
  • 28-24 against the Under for game total points (+1.6 Units / 2.74% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 25-29 (-6.9 Units / -11.61% ROI).

  • 18-36 against the Moneyline (-4.25 Units / -6.6% ROI)
  • 23-31 against the Over for game total points (-11.1 Units / -18.69% ROI)
  • 31-23 against the Under for game total points (+5.7 Units / 9.6% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 86 games (-27.80 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 84 games (-26.80 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 86 games (-24.30 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 83 games (-23.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 86 games (-21.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 71 games (-19.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 37 away games (-19.45 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 37 away games (-17.45 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 76 games (-16.65 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 61 games (-14.55 Units / -22% ROI)

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Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets are winless (0-13) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are winless (0-18) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

The Grizzlies are winless (0-12) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Grizzlies are 6-7 (.462) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. RocketsWednesday‘s Game, Feb. 14

  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Jake LaRavia (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Ziaire Williams (Memphis Grizzlies): Hand, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Rose (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Back, Out
  • Steven Adams (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out For Season
  • Fred VanVleet (Houston Rockets): Thigh, Out
  • Reggie Bullock Jr. (Houston Rockets): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Out
  • Cam Whitmore (Houston Rockets): Ankle, Out

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (892 assists/ 666 TOs) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (943/2,203) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies are shooting 44% (2,091/4,767) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies have averaged 106.7 points per game (5,762 points/54 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.5

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 8.3 steals per game (680 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,022 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies allowed opponents to shoot 45% (3,340/7,365) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.