Rockets vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 11, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Rockets are -10.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on KJZZ | SCHN

The Houston Rockets visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Salt Lake City, UT.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).

The Rockets vs Jazz Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 43-34 against the spread, while the Jazz are 39-40 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets-10.5 -115O 227.5 -110-550
Utah Jazz +10.5 -105U 227.5 -110+400

Jazz vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Thursday‘s game with 84.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Jazz.

Jazz vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 58.9% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 35 away games (+13.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+12.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 78 games (+12.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 away games (+11.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+13.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+8.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+8.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 3Q Spread in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+6.45 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 43-34 (+5.6 Units / 6.44% ROI).

  • 39-40 against the Moneyline (+5.7 Units / 4.39% ROI)
  • 40-38 against the Over for game total points (-1.8 Units / -2.07% ROI)
  • 38-40 against the Under for game total points (-5.95 Units / -6.85% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 39-40 (-4.95 Units / -5.7% ROI).

  • 29-50 against the Moneyline (-17.1 Units / -16.89% ROI)
  • 43-34 against the Over for game total points (+5.6 Units / 6.44% ROI)
  • 34-43 against the Under for game total points (-13.3 Units / -15.3% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 37 games (-28.55 Units / -56% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 79 games (-26.35 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 77 games (-24.55 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-21.85 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 60 games (-20.95 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 34 away games (-18.50 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 34 away games (-17.35 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 79 games (-15.95 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 79 games (-14.30 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 73 games (-14.25 Units / -17% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Rockets were 6-22 (.214) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 2-30 (.062) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Jazz are winless (0-4) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .409

The Jazz are winless (0-19) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .179

The Jazz are 7-21 (.250) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Jazz are winless (0-12) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .119

Injury Report: Jazz vs. RocketsThursday‘s Game, Apr. 11

  • Otto Porter Jr. (Utah Jazz): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Steven Adams (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out For Season
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Out

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets shot 33% from three (856/2,619) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz averaged 58.8 points per game (4,823 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Jazz have averaged 15.9 second chance points per game (1,273 points/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Jazz have averaged 8.5 second chance points per game (669 points/79 games) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Jazz have averaged 7.9 turnovers per game (626 turnovers/79 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Rockets have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,866 rebounds/79 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (626/1,508) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Jazz have allowed 21.9 fast break points per game (853 points/39 games) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.8

The Jazz averaged 6.1 steals per game (500 steals/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Jazz have averaged 6.5 steals per game (516 steals/79 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.